Another pretty fall day anticipated across the state.  Temps will be mild, the sky will be mostly clear and humidity levels will remain low.  Another very nice day to get outdoors! Lows tonight will be pleasant once again with a few upper 40 degree readings showing up across parts of east Texas as cooler air filters in from the east across the region.

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After such a quiet period weather-wise over the past several weeks, our next rainmaker for the state is on target to arrive by the middle of this week with the potential for seeing some rather significant rainfall amounts across the Texas/OK panhandles and down into the rolling plains/northern Permian Basin region.  The upper level low which will be instigating the rainfall will be slow to move east which means several days of rain chances from west to east across the state next week. Timing for the heaviest rainfall across the western half of the state at this point looks to be Wednesday through Thursday night, and flash flooding could become an issue.  Flash Flood Watches may be needed and issued by late Tuesday for parts of the permian basin and up into the panhandles.  We’ll keep you updated on that.  Rainfall further east across north central, northeast and eastern Texas will hold off until late week and into the weekend, with variability in rainfall amounts based on what I’m about to discuss next.

FWD Rain chances late week

Coastal and southern Texas will also be impacted by the potential for heavy rainfall by the middle to end of this week.  Another factor in the overall forecast will be the development and track of a low pressure system in the Gulf this week.  IF it forms, will have a significant impact on rain chances along the coast by the middle of this week, and WHERE it tracks will have an impact on rain chances by next weekend for central, east and northern Texas.  Flooding along the coast will certainly be a concern that we will monitor this week as well.

hgx coastal low

For now, here’s the current projection for rainfall through next Saturday across the state.  It’s been a long time since we’ve seen such healthy amounts with such a large footprint over the state.  Looks like we’ll have a busy week ahead for sure, so be sure to check back with us daily for the most updated information!