Just after 6:30 AM a cold front was located from south of Lubbock east/southeast to Abilene through Cleburne, Waxahachie, through Tyler and just south of Shreveport. The cold front is dry with no precipitation across most of Texas. An exception to that is the far eastern Texas Panhandle into Northwest Texas where a few showers are in progress. Those showers will dissipate by lunchtime as drier air filters in from the north. Winds are out of the northeast around 10-15 MPH. The cold front is moving south at 20 to 30 MPH and will continue that motion through the afternoon hours.
High temperatures will be much cooler today across the Texas Panhandle, West Texas, Permian Basin, Northwest Texas, North Texas, and Northeast Texas. The Panhandle and West Texas will be lucky to get out of the upper 50s this afternoon under cloudy skies. Cooler air is filtering in a few hours behind the wind shift/front itself. While the cold front will reach Central Texas around lunchtime temperatures will still get into the upper 80s to lower 90s. As the cold front reaches the Hidden Pines Fire winds will shift out of the northeast at 10 to 15 MPH with gusts over 20 MPH for the first hour or two after the frontal passage. Following that winds will diminish to 5-10 MPH out of the northeast.
Humidity values will again plummet down to 20-25 percent this afternoon across North Texas, Northeast Texas, East Texas, Central Texas, the Brazos Valley, and Southeast Texas. Even after the cold front passes humidity values won’t rise much since the lower temperatures will lag behind the front by several hours. The frontal passage is noteworthy for fires because winds will shift out of the northeast thus causing the western flank of any fire to potentially become the head. Officials are well aware of this risk and are planning accordingly. Our state knows how to deal with wildfire events. They learned many lessons in 2011 and those are being put to good use today. That is why so many air resources (including very heavy tankers) along with TIFMAS (Texas Intrastate Fire Mutual Aid System).
Low temperatures tonight will be quite pleasant for October across the northern half of Texas. Folks in the Texas Panhandle and West Texas will drop off into the 40s with one or two cooler spots maybe getting down to 38-39 degrees. Upper 40s to mid 50s can be expected across Northwest Texas, the Permian Basin, Big Country, Concho Valley, North Texas, and Northeast Texas. South-Central Texas, Southeast Texas, and Deep South Texas will drop off into the 60s tonight. Overall a pretty nice Friday night is in store for Texas.
High temperatures on Saturday will be quite pleasant across the northern two-thirds Texas with 70s to low 80s. South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley will be warm but a few degrees cooler than today with upper 80s to low 90s. No precipitation is anticipated.