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Not exactly what you want to see now that moderate to extreme drought has returned to a large portion of the state, but high pressure will once again be the dominant weather feature this week…a pattern more typical of summer than early fall.  With the exception of far western Texas, the remainder of the state will see very little in the way of rainfall over the next several days, and likely into next weekend as well.  A tropical disturbance off the Baja coast will keep moisture flowing over the desert southwest Monday through Wednesday, some of which will make it as far east as western Texas.  This will spark chances for rainfall across this region tomorrow into early Wednesday.  Rainfall amounts right now look pretty light, but any eastward shift in this tropical disturbance after it makes landfall, and its remnants arrive on US soil, could make quite a difference in precip amounts.

Precip now thru Sunday

Weekly Drought Monitor from the National Drought Mitigation Center

Weekly Drought Monitor from the National Drought Mitigation Center

There is some good news…thanks to a more easterly wind component by mid-week, we’ll be looking at a decrease in dewpoint values across the northern and western portions of the state which will help to knock out some of the humidity we’ve been dealing with lately.  The air will not feel tremendously drier, but enough to notice and help make the warm days a bit more tolerable.  The decrease in moisture will also allow overnight temps to cool a few more degrees…from the 70s down into the upper 60s…which will feel wonderful for those who like to take early morning walks!

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For the short term…rain currently falling across north and west central Texas will continue into the overnight hours…mainly in the form of light rain decreasing in intensity as it encounters higher air pressure further south.  We’ll see a resurgence of rain chances across southeast Texas tomorrow in the form of pop-up showers and storms possible…and across the aforementioned parts of far western Texas, but other than that, conditions should remain calm.  Lows tonight will drop into the 60s across the western half of the state and drop into the low to mid 70s further east where greater moisture will reside tonight.

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