Good Thursday Morning! The Concho Valley will be getting a well deserved drying out today now that the rain has moved away. Another round of storms is expected this evening across the Texas Panhandle and West Texas. The monsoon is partly to blame along with a subtropical jet boosted by El Nino. Otherwise the only precipitation we would be seeing is from the typical summer popups. Storms last night were fairly uncommon this late into the summer. Usually wind shear is far too weak to support significant severe weather such as very large hail and tornadoes. Alas we’ll have to watch for that hazard again this evening in the Texas Panhandle as atmospheric conditions remain essentially the same.
Temperatures will climb into the 90s across the eastern two thirds of Texas today. Deep South Texas around Laredo could climb to the century mark today. Heat index temperatures will be in the lower 100s across East, Southeast, and perhaps even North Texas as humidity values will be quite atrocious today. Upper 80s are expected across the Texas Panhandle, West Texas, and Permian Basin.
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible by this afternoon across the Texas Panhandle and in Far West Texas around El Paso. Convection around El Paso is due to the annual monsoon season. By tonight scattered thunderstorms are expected across the Texas Panhandle, West Texas, and Far West Texas. Some of the storms in the Panhandle may be severe with large hail, damaging winds, and a nonzero tornado threat.
Low temperatures will be in the mid to upper 70s along and east of Interstate 35 from the Red River south to Laredo. Upper 60s to lower 70s are expected across the western half of Texas. Overall not too shabby for July -but we will be getting warmer by the weekend in both daytime and overnight temperatures.