2015-05-23_11-34-19

* Pockets of low level instablity combined with wind shear mean we cannot rule out a few brief tornadoes this afternoon. The overall threat is on the lower end of the spectrum – but present enough to make note of it.

Simulated radar at 7 PM tonight from weatherbell.com

Simulated radar at 7 PM tonight from weatherbell.com

* Thunderstorm coverage will increase later this afternoon. By early evening we should have a fairly large area of precipitation underway from Northwest Texas south into South-Central and Southwest Texas. Some storms will likely be producing very heavy rain and flash flooding is expected.

Simulated radar at 11 PM tonight from weatherbell.com

Simulated radar at 11 PM tonight from weatherbell.com

* By late evening rain will be falling across North Texas, Central Texas, South-Central Texas as a large area of precipitation continues to slowly progress east. Pockets of very heavy rain are expected with moderate/heavy rain over a larger area. Flash flooding is expected some locations tonight. The severe weather threat will diminish after sunset. Rain will continue much of the night with pockets of rain accumulations exceeding 4 inches expected. Not everyone will see the higher-end rain totals and flooding, but widespread rain is expected.