A linear mode of strong to severe storms continues to work its way east across the northern and eastern portions of north central Texas this morning with the end of the line stretching down into west central and southwest Texas. Specifically for portions of north Texas, the lines of storms themselves are slow moving and not making much progress east, but the individual storms cells within the line are moving northeast, training over the same areas, and causing heavy rain and flash flooding issues over soils that have already been inundated the past several days. The Storm Prediction Center’s latest outlook has moved the Enhanced and Slight Risk areas along and east of a line from Paris down to Dallas and Waco. Areas east of that line with ongoing storms will see the greatest potential for high winds gusts, hail and frequent lightning.
For the short term, flooding across north will the the next greatest threat to those mentioned above. Numerous Flood Warnings and Flash Flood Advisories have been posted for north central Texas…particularly in the Dallas/Ft. Worth metro area and down towards Granbury. For this afternoon, depending on how quickly this first batch of storms can clear out will determine how quickly the atmosphere and destabilize this afternoon during peak daytime heating. It’s likely that the most severe threats will reside within the Tornado WATCH areas on the graphic below. Today’s forecast will be tricky and subject to change, and we’ll get the latest updates out as quickly as possible through the afternoon hours. Best advice from us…stay aware of the weather conditions today if you’re in the watch area.
1015 AM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL THROUGH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS * EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1015 AM UNTIL 900 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELL CLUSTERS WITH DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND A FEW TORNADOES EXPECTED TO MOVE / DEVELOP GENERALLY NORTHEAST ACROSS WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF PARIS TEXAS TO 55 MILES SOUTH OF JUNCTION TEXAS.