A strong upper level system approaching the state over the weekend will kick the atmosphere into high gear again and bring the potential for a significant flooding event over parts of north Texas Saturday night into Sunday. Some areas just west of the Dallas/Ft. Worth metroplex could see rainfall upwards of 6 inches by early Monday. Folks in the metroplex can expect slightly less rain; however, we are still a few days out, so the exact location of heaviest rainfall may shift. Regardless, with already saturated soils and overflowing lakes, this could easily spell disaster for many communities with significant flooding possible along and near all area lakes and rivers. We also have the threat of some severe weather Saturday night into Sunday as well with plenty of instability and wind shear in place. The good news is that the tornado threat looks much lower than we saw this past Tuesday, but we’ll likely still have a damaging wind threat, and of course, the flooding rains. Flash Flood Watches are already in place until Monday for most of north Texas. Camping this holiday weekend out along area lakes and rivers this weekend is NOT recommended. Residents living along or near area lakes and rivers will need to keep an eye out late Saturday and Sunday for the threat of rapidly rising water and take whatever precautions you can now to be ready for it. I don’t know about you, but I feel a bit like the Greek’s mythological Sisyphus who was doomed to endlessly roll a boulder up a steep hill. Only in my case, I’m stuck pushing a mop bucket across my floor each day only to get done and see another set of muddy footprints on the tile. Enough of this rain already!
In the meantime…for tonight rainfall chances will be developing and working their way east across west Texas and the panhandle region. By morning, most of the rain will have moved east into west central and north central Texas. Not looking like a widespread rain event tomorrow morning, but any amount of rain could lead to some localized flash flood issues. Lows tonight will be cool once again as our cold front has pushed far south and offshore. It will begin to lift north again by tomorrow bringing the moisture and warmer more seasonal temps back with it, so enjoy the much cooler than normal temps while they last!
As far as severe weather goes, we’ll have a chance late Friday night into Saturday across eastern New Mexico and the far west Texas panhandle region. Elsewhere, just scattered clusters of showers with gusty winds and lightning as the main threats.