Happy Friday everyone! I hope you’re ready to end the workweek and head into a Spring weekend. It’s amazing to think we’re now in May but that’s how time goes. Like the past few days we’ll remain under the influence of a upper level high pressure sitting off to our west in Arizona and New Mexico. That high pressure has kept the jetstream well to our north and the sub-tropical jet stream out over the Gulf of Mexico. Thus today will be another mostly clear and warm day with south winds. Compared to recent days we will start to see a slow northward progression of higher dewpoints as they gradually move inland from the Gulf of Mexico. That process will become more obvious tonight as a low level jet sets up shop and we start seeing southeast winds bring moisture back inland. No precipitation is expected but I wouldn’t rule out some clouds tonight.
We’ll return to a more stormy pattern next week as the subtropical jet returns to Texas and the Plains. With abundant moisture in place along with several storm systems moving along with the jetstream we should see rain chances really go up next week. The severe weather potential each day will depend on cloud cover, instablity values, and how strong the cap ends up. Widespread severe weather doesn’t look likely at this point in Texas next week but some severe weather will certainly be possible each afternoon associated with the dryline. It is May afterall so that shouldn’t come as a surprise. What is looking good is the chance for beneficial rains in areas that really need it. The Climate Prediction Center highlights an increased chance of above-average rainfall in Texas through May 10 and the Weather Prediction Center is showing some good rain totals next week. If you missed our post last night about drought improvements in April check it out here.