2015-05-25_21-23-11

The severe weather threat for North and Central Texas has ended for tonight. The same can’t be said for Southeast Texas where we’ll have issues for several more hours. We’ll reload the atmosphere and be primed for another possibility of severe thunderstorms on Tuesday. Unlike today we’re not expecting widespread thunderstorm development. In fact we may only see a couple of thunderstorms fire up late tomorrow afternoon. The development point will be the dryline which should be located in West-Central Texas into western North Texas north into Oklahoma. With abundant moisture in place and temperatures expected to climb into the upper 80s the atmosphere will be extremely unstable. We won’t have much in the way of wind shear in place however we will have some. Combined with the extremely unstable airmass the stage will be set to support intense severe thunderstorms. Luckily with only a few storms expected a vast majority of folks will be dry tomorrow. Those few that do end up with one of the afternoon supercells overhead could have extreme impacts. The strongest storms tomorrow afternoon will likely be capable of producing giant hail up to the size of softballs, destructive wind gusts over 75 MPH, and tornadoes. Like I said – we won’t have many storms tomorrow – but those that do form could be very significant.

Setups like the one tomorrow are fairly typical in late May. We have a ton of instablity but weaker wind shear. Those are the days you get the powerful supercells up to 70,000 feet with all sorts of severe hazards. They move very slowly east, southeast, or even sometimes south. You may only get one – but that one is a big one. We’ll see how things trends tonight and I encourage you to check back in the morning for the latest severe weather outlook and overall forecast.

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