We’re monitoring an area of developing thunderstorms across southeast Colorado into northeast New Mexico. Those storms will likely form into a cluster in the Texas Panhandle by early evening. The cluster of storms will move southeast with a threat of 50 to 65 MPH winds and hail up to the size of ping pong balls. A continued southeast movement with the thunderstorms will continue tonight. By midnight we should have the thunderstorm cluster in the Big Country. From there storms will move southeast into western North Texas into the Hill Country. We’ll see a risk for severe thunderstorms through about 1 AM before they start to weaken. Localized flooding will also be a threat as storms weaken but continue to move towards I-35 in Central Texas after 3 AM.

A separate area of possible thunderstorm development after 2 AM along a boundary in North Texas into East Texas. Depending on where this boundary sets up will determine where the highest chances for additional rain and potential flash flooding will occur. The two potential scenarios are the band of storms sets up near Interstate 20 in D/FW into East Texas. The second is it sets up closer to Waco-Corsicana. Either way we could see 1 to 2 inches of rain overnight with the training storms moving over the same areas. It goes without saying wherever that happens we could have flooding once again.

HRRR: Simulated Radar at 8 PM

HRRR: Simulated Radar at 8 PM

HRRR: Simulated Radar at 12 AM

HRRR: Simulated Radar at 12 AM

HRRR: Simulated Radar at 3 AM

HRRR: Simulated Radar at 3 AM