The threat for severe weather returns today as a strong disturbance combines with very high moisture amounts to produce an unstable atmosphere. There may be multiple rounds of severe thunderstorms today with the first possibly beginning just after lunchtime. A second round of storms may form in the late afternoon/early evening behind the first round of eastward moving storms. The strongest storms may produce baseball size hail, damaging wind gusts up to 75 MPH, and a few tornadoes. Should we get any sustained discrete supercells a more sustained tornado threat may develop as we’ll have favorable wind shear in place today.
Initial thunderstorm development would likely occur just east of the dryline which can be identified as the western-most sections in the severe weather outlooks. Storms would move east/northeast within a favorable environment for severe weather. We’re going to have to watch things closely because the overall setup is quite favorable for severe thunderstorms – but there are a few uncertainties that preclude a higher risk category at this time. Thunderstorms once again could impact the D/FW Metroplex this afternoon. Thunderstorms will likely continue into the overnight hours with a threat of large hail and localized damaging wind gusts.