While it’s still too far out to talk specifics, we are anticipating a significant pattern change beginning early next week which has the potential to bring severe storms and heavy, widespread rain back to the region.  A low pressure system, currently spinning over the pacific, is expected to come onshore later this weekend and eject east over the desert southwest and into the southern plains during the week.  With ample return of moisture by Tuesday, a strong leeward surface low across the panhandle, a sharpening dryline across west Texas and the arrival of several mid to upper level impulses riding the base of the trough…all that will come together and set the stage for a multi-day rain and storm event for parts of west, central and northern Texas.  We could actually see some fairly significant flooding if this system comes in stronger than currently forecasted.  The current forecast models have precipitable water values coming in at roughly 1.8 to 2.4 standard deviations over normal for this time of the year, which would certainly support some flooding issues.  Again, still too early to know for sure, but we’ll certainly be keeping an eye on it…and possibly a few storm chase opportunities for David, Paige and I next week!

6 to 10 day precipitation outlook

6 to 10 day precipitation outlook

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