Little has changed in our thinking regarding today’s severe weather threat since this morning’s blog. We expect storms to fire up after 4 PM just east of an advancing cold front that’s located across North Texas. The placement of this front will determine what parts of D/FW end up having a risk for storms today since it will be bisecting the metro. If the front continues at its present speed the western half of D/FW will miss out on severe storms this afternoon with initial storms firing up along a McKinney to Dallas line and moving east. The first few storms that fire up could be supercells with a very large hail threat. While not a big concern there is the chance for one or two tornadoes with ample wind shear in place. The threat for hail and damaging winds will be the primary concern however. The Storm Prediction Center maintains an enhanced risk of severe weather for Northeast and East Texas where the chance of storms and severe weather will be relatively highest later today. Severe weather is possible across the eastern half of North Texas into Central Texas as well.
We should see some sort of severe weather watch issued after 3-4 PM as thunderstorm initiation nears. We’ll have more specific information on that and updates throughout the evening here on the blog. We’re not chasing today so we can provide more frequent updates to you.