Light rain across northeastern New Mexico will slowly spread eastward into the western Texas Panhandle later this morning and continue through the afternoon hours. The rain overall will be light in nature. However there will likely be pockets of moderate rain that’ll develop this afternoon across the northwestern Panhandle around Dalhart. Sprinkles or light rain will be possible this afternoon and evening across the remainder of the Panhandle and into West Texas with only a trace to perhaps up to two tenths of an inch of rain expected. The western/northwestern Panhandle could see about a quarter inch of rain – maybe half an inch if heavier rain is able to actually develop.
A separate area of moderate rain will develop tonight across the Permian Basin into the higher elevations of the Davis and Alpine mountains. Some folks will receive a quarter to perhaps four tenths of an inch of rain. A rain/snow mix is possible in the mountains but snow accumulations will remain low thanks to marginal temperatures.
We’ll have two very different airmasses in place today across Texas as a cold front makes progress to the south and east. Temperatures on the cool side of the front will be in the 40s to lower 50s under mostly cloudy skies. South of the cold front temperatures will be well above average once again with 60s across East Texas and 70s across South-Central, Southeast, and Central Texas. Lower 40s in Dalhart and Amarillo with Corpus Christi and San Antonio sitting near 80 degrees. Its fun watching temperature gradients during the winter in Texas.
Likewise we’ll see a wide range in temperatures tonight into Thursday morning. In the cooler air north of the front we’ll see low temperatures mainly in the 30s across the Permian Basin eastward into West-Central, North, and Northeast Texas. Folks in the Panhandle will fall below freezing into the upper 20s which isn’t too far away from normal low temperatures for early February. South of the cold front temperatures will be comparatively warmer with upper 40s across South-Central and Southeast Texas and 50s in Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley. By Friday we’ll be right back up in the 60s and probably a few 70s across all of Texas so this cooler air will be short lived.
Don’t take this spring weather for granted. Confidence continues to increase that Texas will be impacted by a significant arctic air outbreak next week resulting in much colder weather in addition to increased precipitation chances. Snow very well may be flying across the Panhandle and other parts of Texas this time next week.