2015-01-21_23-52-18

Scattered to widespread rain will continue most of this morning across a large portion of our state including Northwest Texas, North Texas, Northeast Texas, East Texas, South Texas, the Hill Country, and West-Central Texas. We are starting to notice a few embedded thunderstorms in the Hill Country and Concho Valley as upper level lift increases and causes low amounts of instability to develop in the atmosphere. These isolated storms are not expected to be severe but don’t be surprised if you hear a rumble or two of thunder and maybe some very small hail. All this precipitation is being caused by a strong upper level low located in eastern New Mexico early this morning. Most activity is moving northeast and we should continue to see redevelopment of rain this morning over areas that are getting it now. Honestly the radar will probably look similar in a few hours rain-wise as it does now except we may see more rain develop across Central Texas that’ll move into East Texas. This is a good soaking rain and just what the doctor ordered.

2015-01-21_23-48-29

Very heavy snow continues to fall in a narrow convective band extending from Hereford northeast into Amarillo, Panhandle, to near Shamrock. Snowfall rates have approached 4 inches per HOUR in Amarillo and there is now over 10 inches of snow accumulated. With very heavy snow continuing there’s a good possibility some of Amarillo will top a foot of snow this morning. This band is nearly stationary but is making very slow progress to the south. Light to moderate snow continues to fall across much of the Texas Panhandle with snow rates of 0.5 inches to 1.0 inches per hour in most cases. An interesting development is the dry slow that has moved into the South Plains. This dry slot is quickly causing snow to end in the South Plains including Lubbock. A dry slot is somewhat typical of these low pressure systems. Unfortunately for snow fans this means a bust of the accumulation forecast and only a fraction of what was expected to fall. We may see light snow move back into the South Plains later this morning but the threat for higher end snow totals has ended.