Dense Fog Advisories are in effect for Southeast Texas and the Coastal Plains through 9-10 AM. After over a week of very dry weather we’re starting to see moisture return to Texas. That moisture is evident by morning fog. Diminished visibility is noted on our fog map with increasing whites. Some of the fog will be dense for the morning drive. Safety tips include giving yourself a little extra room between vehicles and not using the high-beams on your headlights. Most fog will burn off by 10 AM as temperatures quickly rise.
Another sunny day with above-average temperatures are expected for your Friday. Truthfully the weather is going to be excellent. The hottest weather will be across South Texas and Deep South Texas where temperatures will soar into the middle 80s. It’ll climb into the 70s as far north as Interstate 20. North of I-20 temperatures will climb into the middle and upper 60s.
Temperatures tonight will fall back into the 20s to low 30s across the Texas Panhandle and South Plains. With temperatures approaching the dewpoint by sunrise we could see pockets of fog. Locations that fall below freezing may have patchy freezing fog. We’ll have to keep an eye on that prospect since it may result in very localized icy spots on bridges in the Panhandle. 30s are expected from the Permian Basin into Northeast Texas. Upper 40s to 50s are forecast across South-Central Texas, the Brazos Valley, and Southeast Texas into South Texas. Fog is also a possibility once again along the coast and in Southeast Texas and South Texas. Unlike the Panhandle temperatures will be safely above freezing.
Saturday will be warm but we start to see changes by Sunday. An upper level storm system and associated surface low will move across the state on Sunday and Monday. A cold front will extend south/southwest of the low. That front will move southeast through Texas in conjunction with the storm system. Precipitation chances increase Sunday Night and Monday Morning along and east of Interstate 35. The best chance for rain will be across Northeast Texas and East Texas before moving into parts of Southeast Texas. At this time severe weather is unlikely due to the time of day and lower instablity values. Most rain totals will remain under one half inch. Isolated totals up to an inch will be possible across East Texas. There will be some forecast refinements as we get closer to Sunday. We’ll have to watch any sort of increase in instablity since that would result in a low-end severe weather threat. After Monday’s system we should experience another multi-day period of dry weather and above-average temperatures.
It is a very cold morning across parts of the state. The good news is temperatures will rebound quite nicely this afternoon. Skies will remain mostly clear through the day. Clouds will be on the increase tonight across the Texas Panhandle into Northwest Texas as a storm system begins its approach. Moisture levels will be too low for anything more than a few sprinkles on Friday Night. Temperatures this afternoon will peak around their averages for early February. Nothing too cold and nothing exceptionally warm. There may be a slight wind chill – especially across the Texas Panhandle.
Tonight will be a few degrees warmer compared to this morning across the western half of Texas. Meanwhile Northeast Texas and East Texas will actually be colder. Temperatures statewide will range from the lower 20s to right around 40 degrees. Cloud cover will be on the increase across the Panhandle, Northwest Texas, into West-Central Texas tonight.
The weather across Texas will remain quiet through this weekend. Daytime temperatures from this afternoon through Monday will be above-average for late January. For today we’re expecting high temperatures to peak in the 60s to low 70s across all of Texas. The one exception will be the Pecos Plateau which will be cooler with temperatures in the 50s this afternoon. Winds will be light out of the west. Skies will be clear and you’ll be hard pressed to find more than a few clouds this afternoon. Temperatures will only go up from here through the weekend and on Monday.
Clear skies, light winds, and a dry airmass will allow for ample radiational cooling tonight. Temperatures will fall off into the 20s, 30s, and 40s by Friday morning. We’ll see impressive temperature differences over a short distance due to factors like elevation, topography, and any urban effects. Overnight temperatures will begin moderating this weekend.
The next storm system to impact the Plains and southern United States already has the attention of many meteorologists. It looks like this upper level storm system could produce a variety of high-impact weather. At this time we’re expecting moisture return to bring humid conditions along and east of Interstate 35 from Sunday Night into Monday. Thunderstorm chances look to increase across Northeast Texas and East Texas Monday Night. Snow will be possible across the Texas Panhandle Monday Night into Tuesday. Beyond that we’re way too far off to get specific and I guarantee the forecast will change. The upper level storm system is still around 3500 miles away. We’ll need to watch it closely.
Beginning the climb up with temperatures towards the weekend
Precipitation chances have ended except for South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley. Fort Stockton and parts of the Permian Basin overperformed significant in the snow-department yesterday. Temperatures were about two degrees cooler than forecast resulting in much more snow than rain. The result was some locations getting six to ten inches of snow. You’ll see that reflected in today’s high temperature forecast since the snow pack will keep temperatures cooler. Showers and perhaps a thunderstorm will remain possible in the Rio Grande Valley through this evening in the Rio Grande Valley. Nothing in the way of severe weather is expected. As always you can check on any ongoing precipitation in your area with our free interactive weather radar. Just click the ‘interactive weather radar’ link at the top of our website or in the menu.
Temperatures will be coolest today where we have snow-cover in place from yesterday. Otherwise we’ll see temperatures rebound up a few degrees compared to Tuesday. The eastern Texas Panhandle, Northwest Texas, and South Texas will make it up into the lower 60s today. The remainder of Texas except Far West Texas will make it into the 50s today. Far West Texas will top out in the upper 40s to right around 50 degrees this afternoon. Skies will clear from north to south today. By tonight skies will clear out except along the immediate coastline.
For tonight into Thursday morning we’ll see temperatures drop back into the 20s and 30s across all of Texas. It’s going to be a cold night but nothing ridiculously cold. We could see temperatures vary drastically over a short distance depending on topographical features, urban density, and other factors that play into radiational cooling.
This weekend will feature temperatures that are well above average for late January/early February. It’ll surely feel like Spring… which leads us to our next storm system in the Monday-Tuesday timeframe. We’re going to have to watch that one closely since it could have some spring-like ingredients to work with.
Tornado Warning: Newton County & Beauregard Parish (LA) until 1:30 PM
Tornado Warning for central Newton County in Southeast Texas and northwestern Beauregard Parish in southwestern Louisiana until 1:30 PM. Radar detected strong rotation and a possible developing tornado just south of Call. This storm will cross Highway 87 south of Bon Weir and potentially pass near or just south of Merryville, LA. This storm has the potential to become a problem maker as it moves into Southwest LA.
TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 1243 PM CST THU JAN 21 2016
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR… NORTHWESTERN BEAUREGARD PARISH IN SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA… EAST CENTRAL JASPER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS… CENTRAL NEWTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS…
* UNTIL 130 PM CST
* AT 1243 PM CST…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CALL…MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
HAZARD…TORNADO AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
IMPACT…FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS…WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.
* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR… TROUT CREEK AROUND 1255 PM CST. BON WEIR AND BIVENS AROUND 110 PM CST. MERRYVILLE AROUND 120 PM CST. JUNCTION AROUND 130 PM CST.
TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS…IN A MOBILE HOME…OR IN A VEHICLE…MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.