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Warmer and Nice Today with Active Weather for Thanksgiving into the Weekend


Temperatures are starting off quite chilly this morning across Texas. 6 AM temperature observations have freezing temperatures as far south as San Antonio into the Coastal Plains and just north of Houston. It’s on the chilly side in Deep South Texas with 30s – decently cold for that part of the state. We could see temperatures drop another degree but they’ll start climbing soon enough.


Light southerly winds and clear skies will allow temperatures to warm quite nicely by this afternoon. Northeast Texas will make it into the upper 50s as cooler air from Arkansas helps keep things a tad cooler. Southeast Texas, Central Texas, into the Hill Country and points north will climb into the mid 60s by this afternoon. Essentially all of Texas outside of Northeast Texas will climb into the 60s today with southerly winds of 5 to 15 MPH. Clouds may begin increasing by late afternoon in far Southwest Texas.


Tonight will be 10-15 degrees warmer than this morning across southern sections of Texas as clouds increase and we start to see a return flow of moisture. Temperatures will drop off into the 30s across the Panhandle, South Plains, and in Northeast and East Texas. North Texas, Central Texas, the Hill Country, Southeast Texas, and South-Central Texas will drop into the mid and upper 40s. Compare that to the upper 20s to mid 30s being observed this morning. The Rio Grande Valley and South Texas will drop into the 50s to low 60s tonight – also noticeably warmer thanks to increased cloud cover tonight.

Upcoming rain accumulation forecast (which WILL change)

Upcoming rain accumulation forecast (which WILL change)

No hazardous weather is anticipated today or on Tuesday – but we will start to see changes by Wednesday as a storm system approaches from our west. We will have an additional blog later this morning to discuss the active weather expected beginning Thursday and continuing through Sunday. Light rain is expected to increase in coverage by Wednesday Night across parts of Texas. Thursday has the potential to be quite wet across the Texas Panhandle, West Texas, Permian Basin, Northwest Texas, Big Country, into North Texas. The overall severe weather threat will be very low. I can’t rule out an isolated strong storm in the Permian Basin – but cloud cover will greatly limit the atmosphere’s destabilization and any severe weather threat. By Thursday Night into Friday temperatures may cool enough to support a changeover to freezing rain across parts of the Texas Panhandle. Continued winter weather chances could occur on Friday, Saturday, and perhaps even Sunday across parts of the Texas Panhandle and South Plains. At this time temperatures are expected to remain above freezing across the rest of Texas. Record-high moisture levels for late November combined with the possibility of two storm systems Thursday through Sunday may create a flooding issue across the eastern half of Texas. Several inches of rain will be possible in this timeframe. Locations that have received a hard freeze over the past couple of days will have their vegetation going dormant. That means the ground will have slightly less of an ability to soak up water. I’ll have more specific details in the blog later this morning – but Thursday through Saturday has the potential to feature very active weather in parts of Texas. Stay tuned!

Cold Front Arrives – Windy and Much Cooler Today

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The strong cold front we’ve been talking about for a few days has arrived and is currently barreling through central Texas.  Behind the front, winds have been gusting into the 30 to 40mph range, so hopefully everyone has tied down the patio umbrellas and lightweight outdoor furniture!  We’ve seen reports this morning across north Texas of some tree limb damage as the front came through early this morning, so it’s likely we’ll continue to see spotty reports of some minor wind gust damage throughout the day. The front is expected to make quick progress today…and with its northeast to southwest orientation, should be clearing the south Texas coastal areas after noon and clearing the central and upper coast by around 3pm.  Winds will stay brisk during the afternoon but will begin to calm this evening and into the overnight hours.

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Highs today will have been met early on for most with temperatures steadily dropping behind the front. Current temps in the panhandle rolling plains have already dropped into the 20s and 30s and will likely not budge much the rest of the morning and afternoon. Folks in northern and central Texas have already reached your daily high and will see temps really dropping off over the next several hours.  For folks along the coast, enjoy the warmth now as the front will be knocking on your doors in a few hours!

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For tonight, clearing skies and much drier air behind the front will allow for significant radiational cooling, setting the stage for temps at or below freezing across a large portion of northern and western Texas.  Much of this area has not yet seen much in the way of freezing weather this year…a bit late in the season for a freeze, but nevertheless, you’ll want to cover any sensitive plants or bring them indoors overnight.

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Rain chances today stay primarily across the middle to upper coastal and inland areas and will be quickly shunted out of the area with the passage of the front.  Tomorrow, expect sunny and chilly temps with a gradual warming trend by the middle of next week.  Be sure to check back later this evening for an update on rain and storm chances expected by mid-week!

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Much Cooler Start for Wednesday Morning

What a difference 24 hours makes across Texas. The weather tonight is much calmer than it was this time last night. Snow flurries are still falling across parts of the northwest Texas Panhandle. A few inches of snow fell in the Oklahoma Panhandle and extreme northwestern Texas Panhandle today. Be mindful of any snow/ice covered roads on your travels north. Otherwise I don’t anticipate any additional snow accumulation up there tonight. The last showers from the warm side of the storm system are moving out of Southeast Texas. I anticipate the state to be mostly dry after midnight. By sunrise mostly clear skies will encompass Texas and allow for a chilly start to your Wednesday.


A frost is possible across the Concho Valley Wednesday morning as temperatures drop down into the mid 30s. It’ll be cold across the Permian Basin, West Texas, and the Panhandle with 30s as well. The coolest locations will be the extreme Northwest Texas Panhandle where some snow fell today and temperatures will drop into the 20s. The Interstate 35 corridor from the Red River south to Mexico will be in the 40s tonight. In fact all of East and SOutheast TExas will be in the 40s tonight as well with cooler air filtering in in the backside of the storm system. The Rio Grande Valley will be in the upper 50s tonight.

Wednesday is shaping up to be a nice day with seasonal temperatures and mostly sunny skies. No additional hazardous weather is expected for the next few days.

Potential Weather Impacts on Wednesday

A very intense upper level storm system will sweep by on Wednesday. The highest severe weather risk will be northeast of Texas but we may have to deal with some severe weather in Northeast Texas Wednesday Morning. We may also see a marginal severe weather risk in East and Southeast Texas during the afternoon hours. Otherwise the most singificant impacts from this storm system will come in the form of very strong northwest winds. As the low pressure intensifies and moves away we’ll see a strong pressure gradeint develop. The pressure gradeit will result in increasing northwest to west winds during morning and afternoon hours on Wednesday. Winds will subside by Wednesday evening. The northern Texas Panhandle could experience wind gusts near 60 MPH on Wednesday with wind gusts of 45 to 50 MPH across West Texas, Northwest Texas, and western North Texas. Any recently plowed fields may caused blowing dust. Freezing temperatures are also possible Thursday Morning across the Texas Panhandle, West Texas, and parts of Northwest Texas. We’ll talk about all this in more detail in our usual evening blog. This powerful storm system will bring a blizzard to parts of Colorado, Nebraska, and Kansas where 2 to 6 inches of snow may fall with wind gusts approaching an insane 75 MPH!

A Peek At Our Cool Fall Weekend Forecast!

Sunday morning lows

Good afternoon everyone!  Just a quick update to bring you up to speed on the rain/storm potential today, plus a look at the weekend’s temps!  Looks like we’ll finally be seeing some true fall conditions for quite a number of areas!

At this time, the cold front is approaching south central Texas and southern Hill Country Region.  This is just the first push of cold air.  A secondary push will come tonight/early tomorrow which will further reinforce the cooler and much drier conditions expected into the first part of next week.  In just looking at current surface observations, we’re already seeing much less humid air across the northern half of the state with dewpoint temperatures dropping off into the 30s and 40s.  Hang in there south Texas…the front will arrive soon!

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Here’s a look at how the temps will shape up for this weekend.  The panhandle and parts of northwest Texas already felt the sting of much colder temps this morning, but it will take into early Sunday morning for the push of colder air to infiltrate the airmass all the way down to the coast.  Lows tomorrow morning will once again drop into the 30s and 40s across the panhandle, west and western north Texas with warmer temps further south and east.  By Sunday, we’ll be looking at the potential for seeing some lows in the 40s as far south as central Texas and possibly across the western Hill Country.  It’s about time, too, since most of northern Texas usually has had a few cold snaps by the beginning of November.  In fact, for the DFW metro area, this will be the latest into the fall season that we’ve dropped down into the 40s.  Highs both Saturday and Sunday will range in the 50s and 60s for much of the state…a nice relief from the 70s and 80s we’ve been hanging on to for weeks now.  That’s our short update for now…be sure to check back tomorrow for a complete weekend forecast plus a look ahead at our next rainmaker arriving by the middle of next week!

Saturday morning lows High Saturday Sunday morning lows Highs Sunday

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