Tag Archives: North Texas

Increasing Clouds Today & Your Weekend Weather Outlook


Good morning Texas and whoever else might be visiting us this morning. Congratulations on surviving the work-week and welcome to Friday. I realize some of you might not have the traditional work schedule but look on the bright side. At least traffic isn’t nearly as bad on the weekend. I’m in Austin this weekend for a weather conference and had the ‘pleasure’ of driving in their rush hour last night. It goes without saying I don’t wish that on anyone. This isn’t a traffic blog so lets get on to the weather forecast.

This Morning

Temperatures this morning are quite cold again across Texas. The good news is we’ll warm up quite efficiently after sunrise and into the afternoon hours. Temperatures will peak near average for February 5. It may not be in the 70s but it certainly could be much colder. Five years ago I was covering the second round of winter weather in the D/FW Metroplex with the super bowl in town. With wind chills below zero I think we can all be thankful with today’s weather.


This afternoon and evening

High temperatures this afternoon will actually peak in the low 70s across the Rio Grande Valley. 60s are expected across South-Central Texas and the Coastal Plains. Upper 50s to right around 60 degrees is the forecast across the Permian Basin, Big Country, Concho Valley, North Texas, Central Texas, the Brazos Valley, and Southeast Texas. As usual the coolest readings in the state will be across the South/Rolling Plains and Texas Panhandle where the peak afternoon temperatures will be in the 40s. Clouds will be on the increase by late afternoon across the Panhandle and West Texas. Those clouds are due to an upper level disturbance moving eastward. By this evening those clouds will move into locations east of Northwest Texas, the Big Country, Concho Valley, and Hill Country.

Light rain chances possible tonight and the first half of Saturday

A few sprinkles or very light showers will be possible tonight and on Saturday east of Northwest Texas, the Big Country, Concho Valley, and Hill Country. North Texas, Central Texas, Northeast Texas, and East Texas stand the best chance of getting a few sprinkles tonight and on parts of Saturday. Understand that moisture levels are quite low and thus any rain that reaches the ground will be light. Any showers won’t sit on any place long so a washout is not expected. Limited moisture levels mean no thunderstorms are forecast and neither is any severe weather or flooding.


Tonight into Saturday Morning

Low temperatures by Saturday morning be cold once again with 20s across the Texas Panhandle, South/Rolling Plains, Permian Basin, COncho Valley, and Far West Texas. Western sections of the Panhandle will likely fall off into the 10s. 30s are expected across Northwest Texas, North Texas, Northeast Texas, East Texas, Southeast Texas, Central Texas, and the Brazos Valley. 40s will be common on Saturday morning across South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley.

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Warming up this weekend

As the upper level storm system pulls away we should see a transition to mostly clear skies by Saturday afternoon across Texas. High temperatures will be warmer across western parts of Texas into Central Texas and Southeast Texas. North Texas and Northeast Texas will remain nearly the same as today. They’ll join in on the warmer weather on Sunday as temperatures continue to increase across most of Texas with 60s and 70s. The Panhandle will be cooler as another surge of cooler air moves in. Low temperatures on Sunday morning will still be cool with 20s to low 40s across Texas.

Noticably Cooler Today & Very Cold Tonight



Temperatures will be much cooler today and tonight across Texas as a secondary surge of cold air has arrived. High temperatures this afternoon will remain in the 30s across the Texas Panhandle. 40s can be expected across Northwest Texas, the South/Rolling Plains, Permian Basin, Davis Mountains, into the Concho Valley, Big Country, and North Texas. Skies will likely remain mostly cloudy across the Panhandle and parts of West Texas before clearing later tonight. We won’t see temperatures nearly as cool across Southeast Texas, South-Central Texas, or South Texas today with upper 50s to mid 60s. Compared to the past few days those temperatures will still be a good 15 to 25 degrees cooler. There will be an elevated fire danger across Southwest and South Texas this afternoon.


We’ll see the bottom fall out tonight as very cold air settles into Texas. The Davis Mountains and the Texas Panhandle will fall into the low to middle 10s tonight. 20s are expected across the South/Rolling Plains, Permian Basin, COncho Valley, Big Country, Northwest Texas, North Texas, Northeast Texas, and Central Texas. Temperatures will fall into the 30s across the remainder of the state – including Southeast Texas, South Texas, and the Coastal Plains. Clear skies and relatively light winds will provide ample support for radiational cooling. Don’t be surprised to see temperatures vary over a short distance by morning.

Dry weather will continue on Thursday and Friday across Texas. There may be a few light showers on Saturday from the Concho Valley into Central Texas. None of that looks significant at this time. Another round of cooler weather appears possible next week but we remain in a blocking pattern. Unfortunately it appears a prolonged period of dry weather could continue well into February across Texas. There are indications we may see a pattern change by the third week of February. Until then we can expect below-average precipitation with the occasional cold front.

Enhanced to Critical Fire Danger Risk Expands This Afternoon



This afternoon will be the last relatively warm one for the next couple of days across the eastern half of Texas. High temperatures will peak in the mid 60s to mid 70s along and east of Highway 281 today. That includes North Texas, East Texas, Southeast Texas, Central Texas, and South-Central Texas. As usual folks in Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley will top out in the upper 70s to right around 80 degrees. It’ll be a drastically different picture across the Panhandle where cold air advection will be in full force today. Y’all will struggle to make it out of the 30s this afternoon with a biting north wind. The South Plains, Rolling Plains, Permian Basin, and Northwest Texas will range from the mid 40s to upper 50s. I wouldn’t be surprised to see temperatures struggle to climb much by this afternoon as cold air advection continues. We do note that high winds are possible again today in the Guadalupe and Davis Mountains.


The initial cold front this morning won’t result in cooler temperatures this afternoon for the eastern half of Texas. What it will do is bring in much drier air. Combined with gusty west winds and low humidity we’re looking at another day with critical fire danger. The highest risk for explosive wildfire growth will be across Southwest Texas and the Concho Valley. Very high to near-critical fire danger exists across the Permian Basin, South Texas, Central Texas, Hill Country, North Texas, and the Big Country. Compared to the past few days the risk for enhanced fire danger has spread further east. Local fire departments should be prepared for an increased risk of grass fires today. Any fire that develops could spread rapidly and require considerable resources to contain.

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Far West Texas, the Guadalupe and Davis Mountains, into the Permian Basin, South/Rolling Plains, and the Texas Panhandle are going to be cold tonight into Wednesday morning. Low temperatures will range from the upper 10s in Alpine and the northern Texas Panhandle into the mid and upper 20s across the Plains and Permian Basin. Freezing temperatures are anticipated across Northwest Texas, the Big Country, Concho Valley, western North Texas, and parts of the Hill Country. The remainder of North Texas, Northeast Texas, East Texas, the Brazos Valley, Central Texas, South-Central Texas, and the Hill Country will be in the mid to upper 30s tonight. Southeast Texas, the Coastal Plains, and South Texas will range from the upper 30s to the mid 40s. Finally we’ll round out with the upper 40s in the Rio Grande Valley for low temperatures tonight in the Rio Grande Valley.


The storm system that brought high winds and blowing dust to West Texas is now causing a multitude of new problems to our north and east. A raging blizzard is impacting Nebraska and Iowa today. Meanwhile a severe weather episode will unfold this afternoon and tonight across Tennessee, Mississippi, and Alabama. A squall line will move east with widespread damaging winds. Any sustained discrete storms that fire up ahead of that line could become tornadic this afternoon across northern Mississippi, southern Tennessee, and northwest Alabama. Back here in Texas we won’t be dealing with anything like that this week. Our weather looks dry through at least Thursday Night.

Strong Winds & Critical Fire Danger in Western Half of Texas Today


Good morning and welcome to February! It certainly will not feel like it today with very warm temperatures. A strong cold front will push through the northern half of Texas by tomorrow morning. That front and a developing surface low will bring significant weather impacts to the western half of Texas today. We’re not expecting severe thunderstorms with this front but the impacts will be more typical of a dry-season event. We’ve got a lot to talk about so stick with me. I’ll get through the temperature forecasts for today and tonight. After that I’ll dive into the specific-hazards we’re expecting late this morning through late this afternoon.


Temperatures this afternoon will have a fifty degree spread across Texas. The northern Texas Panhandle will feel the effects of the cold front first today. High temperatures in the Panhandle will range from the upper 40s near Texline to the upper 50s by the time you get to Interstate 40 and Amarillo. High temperatures will peak in the lower 60s across the South Plains and Rolling Plains early this afternoon before falling. Well-above average temperatures in the 70s are expected by this afternoon across the Permian Basin, Northwest Texas, North Texas, Northeast Texas, and East Texas. Flat out hot temperatures in the mid to upper 80s will occur this afternoon as downslope winds increase ahead of the cold front across the Concho Valley, Hill Country, and South-Central Texas. The Rio Grande Valley will set new record highs today as temperatures soar into the low and mid 90s. Yes – I just said 90s! It is way too early in the year to be talking about that kind of heat. Today will be the last day we’ll be seeing those readings for a while.


Showers will be possible across North Texas and Northeast Texas this evening through about 5 AM Tuesday. Any rain accumulations will be very light and no severe weather is expected. Another round of fog and warm overnight temperatures will be common across the Rio Grande Valley, Coastal Plains, Southeast Texas, and East Texas tonight. Those locations will be south and east the cold front by sunrise Tuesday. The Hill Country, Central Texas, North Texas, and Texoma will drop off into the mid and upper 40s tonight as a cold front moves through overnight. The Permian Basin, Northwest Texas, South Plains, and Rolling Plains will drop off into the 30s. Finally the Panhandle will drop off into the 20s tonight as cold air advection continues behind the cold front.


A cold front will push east across the Texas Panhandle, South Plains, Rolling Plains, the Permian Basin, and western sections of the Big Country and Concho Valley by this afternoon. Winds will become southwesterly/westerly after the frontal passage. A pressure gradient will build by late morning as a storm system takes shape. That low will eject northeast out of Texas by this evening helping to lessen the pressure gradient. Winds will become very strong by early afternoon across Far West Texas, the Permian Basin, Rolling Plains, South Plains, and the southern half of the Panhandle. Wind gusts up to 70 MPH are possible across the Plains and lower elevations. There is concern that the Guadalupe Mountains could see wind gusts approach 100 MPH during the peak of the event this afternoon. These high winds will also impact much of Southeastern New Mexico. Widespread blowing dust will move across the western half of Texas this afternoon. Reductions in visibility are possible and some locations could see a full-fledged dust storm. If this was a year ago I would be very concerned about a dust-bowl era event. Fortunately we’ve rid ourselves of the drought and thus while we expect blowing dust today – it shouldn’t be ridiculously dense. We’ll see winds start to diminish by dinner time – but they’ll remain noticeable tonight. South winds will become gusty up to around 30 MPH across the eastern half of Texas today and tonight.



Very warm temperatures, low humidity values, and strong winds will once again result in critical fire weather danger across many areas we’ve already talked about above. In addition the fire danger will be very high to critical across Northwest Texas, the Big Country, the Concho Valley, the Hill Country, and western portions of North Central Texas. Any fires that develop could spread rapidly – perhaps explosively in locations where we have the very high winds. Relative humidity values will drop in the 5-20 percent range by early afternoon. Temperatures will be in the 60s and 70s with southwest winds. Outdoor use of flame – including welding – is strongly discouraged today. It only takes one spark to start a field fire and any of those we get today will likely spread rapidly.

Warmer in the West 1/2 of TX Today; Sunny Skies Statewide


Temperatures will rebound quite nicely this afternoon across the western half of Texas into South Texas. The Permian Basin will be warmest today with high temperatures in the lower 70s. South winds will increase by this afternoon in those regions. Cold air advection will continue across North Texas, Northeast Texas, East Texas, and Southeast Texas today. Temperatures will stay down in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Skies will be clear across all of Texas today and tonight. Compared to thsi morning low temperatures on Sunday morning will be five to ten degrees warmer. South winds will be around 5-20 MPH today and tonight.

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