Tag Archives: National Weather Service

How Much Rain Has Fallen since September 13?

While I’m sure many of our followers are out enjoying their Saturday Night I wanted to quickly put something together that shows how much rain has fallen since last weekend. This graphic comes from the National Weather Service and combines several pieces of information to estimate how much rain has fallen since September 13. Data used to create this image ran from 7 AM on September 13 to 7 AM this morning (September 20). The graphic does not include rain that has fallen since 7 AM this morning. I’m honestly so happy to see the yellow and reds across West Texas, Southwest Texas, the Hill Country, the Rio Grande Valley, and Southeast Texas. Several lakes have shown increases in feet verses inches. A lot of folks received beneficial rain over the past week but sadly there are areas that have missed out. The Texas Panhandle southeast into the Red River Valley, North Texas, and Northeast Texas have really missed out with little to no rain seen from Odile’s rements.

One big way to tell how the recent rains have impacted the drought will be on Thursday when the National Drought Mitigation Center releases their weekly drought monitor that details drought impacts and conditions on a regional scale. We’ll definitely bring you the new outlook on Thursday and I’m hopeful we will see considerable improvement in the drought’s severity where heavy rains have fallen.

2014-09-20_22-00-56

Heavy Rain & Flood Threat Continues Tonight

Abundant moisture from the Gulf of Mexico along with the remains of Hurricane Odile continue to bring heavy rains and the risk for flash flooding to Texas. We’ve already had active day with multiple flash flood and flood warnings. Local authorities are still searching for a missing law enforcement officer out of the Austin area after her patrol car was swept away by flood waters early this morning. Perhaps this would be a good time to teach you our little motto about flooded roadways… TURN AROUND DON’T DROWN! Several of our excellent National Weather Service offices across Texas have already expanded and extended the Flood Watches into Friday across parts of West Texas, Southwest Texas, Central Texas, South-Central Texas, and Southeast Texas. Scroll down to the end of the post for statements from each NWS office.

2014-09-18_16-01-53

Due to the continued moisture influx and dynamics from Odile the risk for flooding will continue into Friday across West Texas, Central Texas, and Southeast Texas where the dynamics to produce heavy rains will be strongest tonight and tomorrow. Not everyone will receive rainfall nor will everyone deal with heavy rains. The key note here is to understand that these thunderstorms are capable of producing copious amounts of rain in an extremely short period of time. Parts of Austin saw nearly four inches of rain in 30 minutes. No infrastructure can handle that amount of water regardless of whether its rural or urban. We’re going to be dealing with the same situation tonight. Some thunderstorms may begin to move over or train over the same locations. Should that happen there is the potential for rapid accumulation of rain in the order of three to six inches in a matter of an hour or two. Another issue is that some areas have already had rain and the ground is saturated thus again enhancing the potential for localized flash flooding.

The Weather Prediction Center has indicated they expect widespread four to six inch rain accumulations across parts of West Texas over the coming few days. Some locations will receive less than that while some locations could see that much fall in a matter of hours. This is great news for drought-stricken areas and undoubtedly this is going to be a good thing in the long-term. However in the short term it could cause flooding of both low-lying locations and small streams. While we are not expecting widespread flash flooding over the next couple of days across Texas we could see localized high-impact flooding like we saw in Austin this morning.

National Weather Service in Amarillo
OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-
DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…VEGA…AMARILLO…PANHANDLE…
WHITE DEER…PAMPA…SHAMROCK…WHEELER…HEREFORD…CANYON…
CLAUDE…CLARENDON…WELLINGTON
307 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

…FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF TEXAS…INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS…ARMSTRONG…CARSON…COLLINGSWORTH…DEAF
SMITH…DONLEY…GRAY…OLDHAM…POTTER…RANDALL AND WHEELER.

* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON

* 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED…ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.

* THE RUNOFF COULD CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER ROADS AND CAUSE DITCHES
TO FILL UP WITH WATER. FLOODING IN STEEP TERRAIN SUCH AS PALO DURO
CANYON COULD BE LIFE THREATENING.

National Weather Service in Lubbock
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-MOTLEY-
COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-YOAKUM-TERRY-
LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…FRIONA…BOVINA…DIMMITT…HART…
TULIA…SILVERTON…QUITAQUE…MULESHOE…LITTLEFIELD…OLTON…
PLAINVIEW…FLOYDADA…LOCKNEY…MATADOR…ROARING SPRINGS…
PADUCAH…MORTON…LEVELLAND…LUBBOCK…SLATON…WOLFFORTH…
CROSBYTON…RALLS…DICKENS…SPUR…GUTHRIE…PLAINS…
DENVER CITY…BROWNFIELD…TAHOKA…ODONNELL…POST…JAYTON…
ASPERMONT
339 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

…FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING…

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS AND THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS…
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS…IN NORTHWEST TEXAS…BAILEY…
COCHRAN…COTTLE…CROSBY…DICKENS…FLOYD…GARZA…HALE…
HOCKLEY…KENT…KING…LAMB…LUBBOCK…LYNN…MOTLEY…
STONEWALL…TERRY AND YOAKUM. IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS…
BRISCOE…CASTRO…PARMER AND SWISHER.

* THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE ODILE…CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHERN
NEW MEXICO…ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD WEST TEXAS OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS
REGION JUST IN ADVANCE OF ODILE REMAINS SATURATED…WHILE THE
GROUND HAS BEEN SOAKED BY SEVERAL RECENT RAIN STORMS. THIS WILL
BRING POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE RANGE OF 1 TO
4 INCHES…WHILE LOCALLY HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY AS
WELL. AND SINCE RUN-OFF POTENTIAL WILL BE HIGH…THESE RAIN
AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE AREAL FLOODING OR LOCAL FLASH FLOODING.

* AREAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS…
INCLUDING LOW LYING ROADWAYS IN URBAN AREAS…NEAR PLAYA
LAKES..AND ALONG CREEKS AND DRAWS. POCKETS OF FLASH FLOODING
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS PRONE TO RAPID RUNOFF SUCH AS THE EDGE
OF THE CAPROCK ESCARPMENT.

National Weather Service in Midland
…FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY FOR THE SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO PLAINS…GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS…VAN HORN
REGION… PORTIONS OF THE UPPER TRANS PECOS AND PERMIAN BASIN…

.REMNANTS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM ODILE WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT EAST
ACROSS NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO FEED ABUNDANT PACIFIC MOISTURE OVER THE REGION. HEAVY
RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN OVERNIGHT ACROSS EDDY AND CULBERSON
COUNTIES… WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OVER LEA COUNTY AND
THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN THIS MORNING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE
REGION THEN INCREASE ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION AND
SHIFT ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO OVERNIGHT. MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING
WILL CONTINUE…ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED RECENT
RAINFALL.

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-074-258-191130-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-140920T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…QUEEN…ARTESIA…CARLSBAD…TATUM…
HOBBS…LOVINGTON…EUNICE…JAL…SEMINOLE…LAMESA…SNYDER…
ANDREWS…STANTON…BIG SPRING…COLORADO CITY…VAN HORN…
PECOS…MENTONE…RED BLUFF LAKE…KERMIT…ODESSA…MIDLAND…
GARDEN CITY…ALPINE…PINE SPRINGS
302 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014 /202 PM MDT THU SEP 18 2014/

…FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING…

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO…EDDY AND LEA
COUNTIES…GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. IN TEXAS…ANDREWS…BORDEN
…DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA…DAWSON…ECTOR…GAINES…
GLASSCOCK…GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS…HOWARD…LOVING…MARTIN…
MIDLAND…MITCHELL…REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS
PECOS…SCURRY…VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR AND WINKLER.

* THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* ABUNDANT MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WILL
MOVE INTO THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS…WITH ISOLATED 3 TO 5 INCH TOTALS
POSSIBLE.

* FLOODING OF CREEKS…ARROYOS…LOW WATER CROSSINGS…AND CITY
STREETS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

National Weather Service in Fort Worth
COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
250 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

…FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT…

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS…BELL…
COMANCHE…CORYELL…FALLS…HAMILTON…LAMPASAS…LIMESTONE…
MCLENNAN AND MILLS. IN NORTHEAST TEXAS…LEON. IN SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS…MILAM AND ROBERTSON.

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT

* NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS. SLOW
MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING IN EXCESS OF 2
INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH IN COVERAGE LATER TONIGHT.

National Weather Service New Braunfels

…HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS A GOOD
PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING…

.TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS TODAY. IN ADDITION…A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
SPINNING OFF THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE ODILE WILL MOVE TO
THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS COMBINATION WILL RESULT
IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. FLASH
FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE IN AREAS WHERE SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL OCCUR AND DUE TO SATURATED SOILS FROM EARLIER VERY HEAVY
RAINS. IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING…THESE HEAVY
RAINS COULD PRODUCE RAPID RISES IN AREA RIVERS…STREAMS AND
NORMALLY DRY CREEKS.

TXC019-029-031-055-091-137-171-177-187-209-259-265-285-325-385-
463-191200-
/O.EXB.KEWX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140919T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BANDERA-BEXAR-BLANCO-CALDWELL-COMAL-EDWARDS-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-
GUADALUPE-HAYS-KENDALL-KERR-LAVACA-MEDINA-REAL-UVALDE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…BANDERA…SAN ANTONIO…BLANCO…
LOCKHART…NEW BRAUNFELS…ROCKSPRINGS…FREDERICKSBURG…
GONZALES…SEGUIN…SAN MARCOS…BOERNE…KERRVILLE…
HALLETTSVILLE…HONDO…LEAKEY…UVALDE
335 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

…FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO HAS EXPANDED
THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS…BANDERA…BEXAR…BLANCO…CALDWELL…COMAL…
EDWARDS…GILLESPIE…GONZALES…GUADALUPE…HAYS…KENDALL…
KERR…LAVACA…MEDINA…REAL AND UVALDE.

* THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.

* FLASH FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND OTHER LOW LYING AND
NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS IS LIKELY DUE TO HEAVY RAINS.
NORMALLY DRY CREEKS AND AREA STREAMS MAY ALSO SEE RAPID RISES.

National Weather Service in Houston
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-GALVESTON-HARRIS-
JACKSON-LIBERTY-MATAGORDA-MONTGOMERY-SAN JACINTO-WALLER-WHARTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ALVIN…ANAHUAC…ANGLETON…BAY CITY…
BELLVILLE…BROOKSHIRE…CLEVELAND…COLDSPRING…COLUMBUS…
CONROE…DAYTON…EAGLE LAKE…EDNA…EL CAMPO…FREEPORT…
FRIENDSWOOD…GALVESTON…HEMPSTEAD…HOUSTON…HUMBLE…KATY…
LAKE JACKSON…LEAGUE CITY…LIBERTY…MISSOURI CITY…
MONT BELVIEU…PALACIOS…PASADENA…PEARLAND…PIERCE…
PRAIRIE VIEW…RICHMOND…ROSENBERG…SEALY…SHEPHERD…
SUGAR LAND…TEXAS CITY…THE WOODLANDS…TOMBALL…WEIMAR…
WHARTON…WILLIS…WINNIE
238 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

…FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING…

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS…INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES…AUSTIN…BRAZORIA…CHAMBERS…COLORADO…FORT
BEND…GALVESTON…HARRIS…JACKSON…LIBERTY…MATAGORDA…
MONTGOMERY…SAN JACINTO…WALLER AND WHARTON.

* THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* RAINFALL WITHIN THIS TROPICAL AIR MASS HAS BEEN EXCESSIVE OVER
PARTICULAR AREAS OF THE WATCH AREA. 48 HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS ARE
GREATER THAN 5 INCHES OVER AREAS OF WESTERN HARRIS…NORTHERN
MONTGOMERY AND SOUTHERN SAN JACINTO COUNTIES…WITH THE HIGHEST
6 HOUR TOTALS JUST NORTHWEST OF DOWNTOWN HOUSTON AND ALONG CLEAR
CREEK. AREA BAYOUS MAY QUICKLY RESPOND WITH RAPID RISES WITHIN
RAIN EXCEEDING FOUR INCH PER HOUR RATES. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE
THAT THE AREA COULD SEE ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN WITH
ISOLATED 3 TO 4 INCH AMOUNTS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SINCE THIS
IS A TROPICAL AIR MASS…THE FLOODING THREAT WILL COME FROM SLOW
MOVING POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS…POSSIBLY
BEING ENHANCED BY STORM OR OUTFLOW MERGERS.

* AFTER THIS AFTERNOON`S ACTIVITY WANES THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON…
THE TIMING OF THE NEXT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND POSSIBLY CONTINUE
INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

Flood Watch Issued for much of Southeast Texas

Scattered showers and thunderstorms have created quite a mess across parts of the Houston Metro this afternoon. A flash flood warning is in effect for parts of Harris, Brazoria, and Galveston counties until 4:15 PM. Rich moisture from the Gulf of Mexico has resulted in an air mass typical of June or July where showers and storms can produce high rainfall amounts in a relatively short period of time. The forecast calls for these showers and storms to continue through Thursday at least. Most locations across Southeast Texas have received at least some rain over the past few days. Since the ground is partially if not totally saturated in some locations there is concern about an increasing flood threat. Some showers and storms may begin to train over the same areas which could result in significant rain accumulations possibly exceeding five inches in local spots. Due to that threat the National Weather Service in League City has issued a Flood Watch for much of Southeast Texas through Thursday Evening. Bryan, College Station, Huntsville, Houston, Galveston, and Liberty are all cities included. Not everyone will see flooding or significant rainfall but those that do could get it in a hurry.

2014-09-17_14-56-20

AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-
MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WHARTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ALVIN…ANAHUAC…ANGLETON…BAY CITY…
BELLVILLE…BRENHAM…BROOKSHIRE…BRYAN…CALDWELL…CLEVELAND…
COLDSPRING…COLLEGE STATION…COLUMBUS…CONROE…CORRIGAN…
CROCKETT…DAYTON…EAGLE LAKE…EDNA…EL CAMPO…FREEPORT…
FRIENDSWOOD…GALVESTON…GROVETON…HEMPSTEAD…HOUSTON…
HUMBLE…HUNTSVILLE…KATY…LAKE JACKSON…LAKE SOMERVILLE…
LEAGUE CITY…LIBERTY…LIVINGSTON…MADISONVILLE…
MISSOURI CITY…MONT BELVIEU…NAVASOTA…ONALASKA…PALACIOS…
PASADENA…PEARLAND…PIERCE…PRAIRIE VIEW…RICHMOND…
ROSENBERG…SEALY…SHEPHERD…SUGAR LAND…TEXAS CITY…
THE WOODLANDS…TOMBALL…TRINITY…WEIMAR…WHARTON…WILLIS…
WINNIE
1241 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

…FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS…INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES…AUSTIN…BRAZORIA…BRAZOS…BURLESON…
CHAMBERS…COLORADO…FORT BEND…GALVESTON…GRIMES…
HARRIS…HOUSTON…JACKSON…LIBERTY…MADISON…MATAGORDA…
MONTGOMERY…POLK…SAN JACINTO…TRINITY…WALKER…WALLER…
WASHINGTON AND WHARTON.

* THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING

* A HIGHLY MOISTENED TROPICAL AIR MASS…WITH SLOW CELL MOVEMENT
OVER REGIONS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED AN AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCH
RAINFALL TOTALS IN RECENT DAYS. SHORT DURATION RAIN RATES COULD
BE HIGH ENOUGH IN THE STRONGER SLOWER MOVING CELL CLUSTERS TO
QUICKLY CREATE FLOODING SCENARIOS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL BE BETWEEN 1 TO 3 INCHES THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING…WITH
LOCALIZED 5 TO 7 INCH AMOUNTS.

* COMMUNITIES THAT RECEIVE GREATER THAN 2 TO 3 INCHES OF HOURLY
RAINFALL HAVE A HIGH CHANCE OF EXPERIENCING FLOODING. GREATER
THAN 4 INCH 6 HOURLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY CREATE FLOODING
ISSUES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO
CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED
QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS…ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER
GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE
AND ITS OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

TURN AROUND…DON`T DROWN!

_____

Finally here is the rainfall accumulation forecast through Friday Morning from the Weather Prediction Center. This is an average which means some locations will receive less and others could receive more rain than this graphic indicates. Remember to avoid flooded roadways and do not let your children play in flood waters!

hpc_total_precip_tx_8

Friday Weather Roundup – Lots of rain for the panhandle & far west Texas later today/overnight

Good morning and happy Friday!  A weak cold front sneaking through the panhandle plus lots of tropical moisture streaming up from Mexico and off the coast of California will continue to bring heavy rain chances into the panhandle and far west Texas today.  Best rain chances will begin later this afternoon as the cold front pushes through Amarillo and ends up stretched across the southeast panhandle after sunset.  The potential for flash flooding will be carefully monitored by the local National Weather Service offices in Amarillo and Lubbock this evening and overnight, so we’ll need to watch for the issuance of various flood advisories for this area by early tomorrow.  Widespread severe weather is not expected from this event, but a few embedded thunderstorms within the mass of rain could produce locally heavier rainfall, gusty winds and lightning periodically through the weekend.  For tonight…those with Friday night football games in the area will need to keep an eye out and plan accordingly.

3pm hrrrLUB FrontFWD Front

Highs today…impacted across the north by ongoing rain and the arrival of the front.  South of the front…hot once again with temps in the 90’s expected across much of the state.  For areas reaching the upper 90’s today, expect heat index values to be right at, or just above, 100 degrees by 4pm this afternoon.  Not terribly bad, but still somewhat miserable if you’re out working in it.  Tomorrow will bring some relief from the high temps to the northern portion of the state with highs in the 80’s expected along with scattered showers and storms.  Sadly, this front will only make it about as far south as Waco before stalling and dissipating.  However…a much stronger cold front is slated to arrive by Wednesday/Thursday of next week which should bring much cooler temps further south.  Check out David’s blog posted last night for a preview of what’s expected to transpire:  http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/09/04/jetstream-shift-expected-next-week-preview-of-fall-possible/  That’s it for this morning’s roundup.  We’ll keep an eye on the radar today and post updates as needed!

Highs

 

FWD Front Next Week

(West TX) Flash Flood Watches In Effect Today & Tonight

It has been a long time since I’ve been able to talk about Flash Flood Watches for portions of West-Central Texas and the Big Bend Country. Both the National Weather Service offices in Midland and San Angelo have placed parts of their county warning areas under a Flash Flood Watch for today and tonight. There is the potential that the watches will be extended into the upcoming work week. Additional rain is expected today with one to two inches of rain on average but localized spots could see over three inches. While that doesn’t sound like much rain these areas have already experienced several inches of rain over the past few days. The result is that the ground simply cannot handle much more water at once right now (even with drought conditions the ground can only take so much water at one time). That means any heavy rain that falls could simply runoff and cause flash flooding in the usual low-lying troublespots and overflow onto roadways. That’s why a Flash Flood Watch is in effect.

2014-05-25_4-16-50

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
310 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 2014

…A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS NORTH OF THE PECOS
RIVER…

.AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA WILL MOVE VERY
SLOWLY EAST…AND PROVIDE SEVERAL CHANCES FOR RAINFALL ACROSS
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WITH
ABUNDANT…DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE…LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH SUNDAY…
RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. THIS THREAT IS EXPECTED
TO INCREASE AS THE STORM SYSTEM NEARS THE REGION. DUE TO THE LACK
OF RECENT RAINFALL…THE GROUND IS VERY DRY…IMPERVIOUS… AND
SPARSELY COVERED WITH VEGETATION. THIS WILL LEAD TO RAPID RUNOFF
WITH ANY HEAVY RAINFALL.

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-251100-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-140526T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…QUEEN…ARTESIA…CARLSBAD…TATUM…
HOBBS…LOVINGTON…EUNICE…JAL…SEMINOLE…LAMESA…SNYDER…
ANDREWS…STANTON…BIG SPRING…COLORADO CITY…MENTONE…
RED BLUFF LAKE…KERMIT…ODESSA…MIDLAND…GARDEN CITY…
MONAHANS…CRANE…MCCAMEY…RANKIN…BIG LAKE
310 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 2014 /210 PM MDT SAT MAY 24 2014/

…FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING…

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS…INCLUDING
THE FOLLOWING AREAS…IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO…CENTRAL LEA
COUNTY…EDDY COUNTY PLAINS…GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY
COUNTY…NORTHERN LEA COUNTY AND SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY. IN WEST
TEXAS…ANDREWS…BORDEN…CRANE…DAWSON…ECTOR…GAINES…
GLASSCOCK…HOWARD…LOVING…MARTIN…MIDLAND…MITCHELL…
REAGAN…SCURRY…UPTON…WARD AND WINKLER.

* THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING

* LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THUNDERSTORMS.

* FLOODING OF CREEKS…ARROYOS…LOW WATER CROSSINGS…AND CITY
STREETS WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
338 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2014

…LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT…

.A LARGE…SLOW MOVING…UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE
TO APPROACH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS…RESULTING IN A FEW MORE ROUNDS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE AMPLE
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. PARTS OF THE AREA HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED IN EXCESS OF 3
INCHES OF RAIN SINCE FRIDAY…WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES
POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT.

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-251700-
/O.EXT.KSJT.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-140526T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-
COLEMAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ROTAN…ROBY…SWEETWATER…
STERLING CITY…ROBERT LEE…BRONTE…BALLINGER…WINTERS…
MERTZON…SAN ANGELO…EDEN…OZONA…HASKELL…THROCKMORTON…
WOODSON…STAMFORD…ANSON…HAMLIN…ALBANY…ABILENE…CLYDE…
BAIRD…CROSS PLAINS…COLEMAN
338 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2014

…FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING…

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS…INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
AREAS…CALLAHAN…COKE…COLEMAN…CONCHO…CROCKETT…
FISHER…HASKELL…IRION…JONES…NOLAN…RUNNELS…
SHACKELFORD…STERLING…TAYLOR…THROCKMORTON AND TOM GREEN.

* THROUGH 7 A.M. MONDAY MORNING

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES…WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* URBAN STREET FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN DUE TO POOR
DRAINAGE AND EXTREME RUNOFF. NORMALLY DRY CREEKS AND STREAMS
WILL CATCH EXCESS RUNOFF AND MAY FLOOD LOW LYING ROADWAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO FLASH
FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

@TxStormChasers

/TxStormChasers

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