Tag Archives: Dallas

Your Overnight & Tuesday Forecast – Rain/Snow Mix for the Panhandle – Showers east of I-35

Lows Tonight

There’s actually quite a bit to talk about, so we’ll break the blog up into topics with the first item being snow/rain chances for the panhandles tonight and the chance for a few showers and storms along the cold front later tonight from around Dallas eastward.  Light rain is showing up across the central and eastern panhandle and far northwest Texas and is expected to continue over the next several hours before moving into western and southwestern Oklahoma. As the upper level low we’ve been talking about for the past couple of days begins to lift off to the northeast overnight, there is a chance for light wintry precipitation across the OK and northern Texas panhandles through early tomorrow morning as a secondary (Canadian) cold front arrives behind the current Pacific front.  Rain/snow amounts are expected to be very light across the northern panhandle tonight and into tomorrow with no significant travel impacts expected except for the far western corner of the OK Panhandle.  For the eastern half of the state, we expect to see a small line of showers develop along the leading edge of the Pacific front as it heads closer to the I-35 corridor and interacts with better moisture.   Best timing for the line to begin developing would be between 9pm and Midnight near the I-35 corridor, then continue east overnight into Tuesday morning as scattered showers. Storms that have recently developed just west of Wichita Falls will continue heading northeast this evening will continue heading northeast into Oklahoma with gusty winds and some small hail possible.  No severe weather is expected otherwise, but don’t be too surprised if you hear a clap or two of thunder before sunrise tomorrow.

Screen Shot 2016-02-01 at 7.18.21 PM

FWD Tonight

Screen Shot 2016-02-01 at 6.48.45 PM

Next topic for discussion will be the chance for dense fog tomorrow along the upper coast and inland counties across southeast Texas by tomorrow morning.  The NWS office in Houston/Galveston has issued a Dense Fog Advisory for the coastal counties between Matagorda Bay and Sabine in effect through 6am tomorrow.  This should clear out from west to east early tomorrow as the cold front arrives, but until then, it will be pretty soupy with decreasing visibilities for those right along the coast.  Check driving conditions before you leave for work or school tomorrow and allow extra time for your commute if it’s looking like pea soup outside when you leave.

HGX Dense Fog thru 6am

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

As for the cold fronts…yes, there’s actually two fronts…a north/south oriented Pacific front which was the driving force behind the wall of dust which traversed west central Texas earlier this afternoon.  This front will continue its eastward progression overnight into tomorrow, but will not have too much of an impact on temperatures for us tonight.  Its greatest impact will be the gusty west winds it brings with it.  Gusts this afternoon across west Texas have reached greater than 50mph across a large swath of the region…with some locations exceeding 60mph.  Thankfully, these gusty winds will temper a bit overnight and not be quite that strong as the front passes through central Texas and into east Texas buy tomorrow morning.  It will be the Canadian front that arrives tomorrow, after the Pacific front, which will have the greatest impact on surface temps for the next couple of days.  Lows tonight will drop down into the mid to upper 20s across the western panhandle and portions of far west Texas.  For the eastern panhandle, eastern Trans Pecos and Permian Basin region, we’ll be looking at lows just above freezing overnight.  For north central down into central and southwest Texas, lows tonight will drop into the mid to the 40s.  Ahead of the front overnight, we’ll see some balmy 60 degree readings.

Lows Tonight

Highs tomorrow, chilly across the northern half of the state, but still quite warm across the southern half with highs once again reaching the 70s and even some low 80s across deep south Texas before the cooler and drier Canadian air has a chance to filter south.  After that, a surface high builds in across the state and remains in place for several days keeping us cool and a bit below seasonal averages through the rest of the work week.  Looks like we remain quite dry as well with our next chance for rain not showing up until the weekend.  More on that in our forecast blogs tomorrow!    

Highs Tuesday  

December 26-27, 215 Tornado Outbreak Damage Survey Information

Garland_3

A deadly outbreak of tornadoes struck North Texas the day after Christmas on December 26, 2015. A total of ten tornadoes impacted North Texas during the afternoon and evening hours. Some tornadoes became large and significant in northern Ellis and Dallas counties. The tornado that struck Garland produced EF-4 damage – the first EF4 or stronger tornado ever recorded in December in Texas. This outbreak unfortunately also became the deadliest December tornado outbreak in Texas history. Several victims were killed when the Garland tornado crossed Interstate 30. Two additional tornadoes occurred during the afternoon hours of December 27 in Northeast Texas. A strong tornado occurred just north of Marshall in Northeast Texas. We’ve compiled the damage surveys and associated track maps to this page. As further information becomes available we’ll update this post. Our prayers go out to those impacted by this event.

Click any image for a full-resolution version.

December 26, 2015 Tornadoes

Public Information Statement…Updated
National Weather Service Fort Worth Tx
605 Pm Cst Tue Dec 29 2015

…Nws Damage Survey For December 26Th Tornado Event…

Update…Information Statement Has Been Updated To Reflect An
Additional Damage Path That Was Discovered By A Team Of Nws Fort
Worth Meteorologists Across North Central Collin County. This
Damage Path… Located Near The Community Of Farmersville…Was
Initially Thought To Be Associated With The Same Tornado That
Struck Copeville. However…Eyewitness Accounts And Evidence From
Radar Suggest That This Is Indeed Separate Damage And Is With That
Of Ef-1 Intensity.

In Addition…More Intense Damage Was Found Along The Damage Path
Of The Blue Ridge Tornado Consistent With Ef-1 Damage And Thus The
Rating Of This Tornado Has Been Upgraded To That Of An Ef-1.

Overview…Several Tornadoes Were Observed During The Afternoon
And Evening Of Saturday December 26Th. The Strongest Tornado Produced
Ef4 Damage In The City Of Garland…As Well As Ef3 Damage In The City Of
Rowlett. This Tornado Produced A Continuous Path Of Damage For Approximately
13 Miles In Dallas And Rockwall Counties. The Tornado Caused 8 Fatalities
Most Of Which Near The Intersection Of Interstate 30 And The President
George Bush Turnpike. Two Tornadoes Were Confirmed In Collin County…Near
Copeville…Where Ef2 Damage Was Observed By Nws Survey Crews. Tornado
Damage Was Also Observed Near Blue Ridge…Where Ef1 Damage Was
Observed. Two Fatalities Have Been Reported In Copeville…And One
Fatality Was Reported In Blue Ridge.

In Total…There Are Now Ten Confirmed Tornadoes And 11 Fatalities
During The Afternoon And Evening Of The 26Th.

Hubbard Tornado

Hubbard

.Hubbard Tornado…

Rating: Ef-0
Estimated Peak Wind: 70-80 Mph
Path Length /Statute/: 3 Miles
Path Width /Maximum/: 50 Yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: Dec 26 2015
Start Time: 203 Pm Cst
Start Location: 3 N Hubbard / Hill / Texas

End Date: Dec 26 2015
End Time: 207 Pm Cst
End Location: 6 N Hubbard / Hill / Texas

Eustace Tornado

Eustace

.Eustace Tornado…

Rating: Ef-0
Estimated Peak Wind: 70 Mph
Path Length /Statute/: 1 Miles
Path Width /Maximum/: 40 Yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: Dec 26 2015
Start Time: 2:44 Pm Cst
Start Location: 2 Ne Eustace / Henderson / Texas

End Date: Dec 26 2015
End Time: 2:46 Pm Cst
End Location: 3 Ne Eustace / Henderson / Texas

Emory Tornado

Emory

.Emory Tornado…

Rating: Ef-0
Estimated Peak Wind: 70 Mph
Path Length /Statute/: 1.0 Mile
Path Width /Maximum/: 75 Yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: Dec 26 2015
Start Time: 5:22 Pm Cst
Start Location: 3 Ne Emory / Rains / Texas

End Date: Dec 26 2015
End Time: 5:23 Pm Cst
End Location: 3 Ne Emory / Rains / Texas

Survey_Summary: This Tornado Was Observed And Reported By Trained
Spotters.

Sulphur Springs Tornado

SulphurSprings

.Sulphur Springs Tornado…

Rating: Ef-0
Estimated Peak Wind: 70 Mph
Path Length /Statute/: 0.5 Mile
Path Width /Maximum/: 25 Yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: Dec 26 2015
Start Time: 5:33 Pm Cst
Start Location: 3 S Sulphur Springs / Hopkins / Texas

End Date: Dec 26 2015
End Time: 5:34 Pm Cst
End Location: 2 S Sulphur Springs / Hopkins / Texas

Survey_Summary: This Tornado Was Observed And Photographed By
Trained Spotters.

Long Track Tornado that tracked from Midlothian through Ovilla and Glenn Heights

These graphics start from the south where the tornado began and progress north as the tornado moves northeast.

Red Oak _ South

Red Oak _ North

.Midlothian /Ovilla /Glenn Heights Tornado…

Rating: Ef-3
Estimated Peak Wind: 145-155 Mph
Path Length /Statute/: 8.5 Miles
Path Width /Maximum/: 125 Yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: N/A

Start Date: Dec 26 2015
Start Time: 601 Pm Cst
Start Location: 5 E Midlothian / Ellis / Texas

End Date: Dec 26 2015
End Time: 613 Pm Cst
End Location: Glenn Heights / Dallas / Texas

Survey_Summary: This Tornado Produced A Long And Narrow Damage Path
From Just Northeast Of The Mid-Way Regional Airport Near Midlothian To
The Border Of Desoto And Glenn Heights. There Were Several Homes With
Damage To Roofs…With Several Homes Suffering Wall Failure Damage.
Additionally…Two Churches And One Elementary School Suffered Extensive
Damage.

Long-track tornado that began in Sunnyvale and moved through Garland and Rowlett

These images begin from the south as the tornado begins. Images and the damage track move north as the tornado progresses into Garland and Rowlett.

Garland_1

Garland_2

Garland_3

Garland_4

Garland_5

.Sunnyvale / Garland / Rowlett…

Rating: Ef-4
Estimated Peak Wind: 170-180 Mph
Path Length /Statute/: 13 Miles
Path Width /Maximum/: 550 Yards
Fatalities: 8
Injuries: 7+

Start Date: Dec 26 2015
Start Time: 6:45 Pm Cst
Start Location: Sunnyvale / Dallas / Texas

End Date: Dec 26 2015
End Time: 7:02 Pm Cst
End Location: Lake Ray Hubbard / Rockwall / Texas

Ennis Tornado

Ennis

.Ennis Tornado…

Rating: Ef-0
Estimated Peak Wind: 80 Mph
Path Length /Statute/: 1 Mile
Path Width /Maximum/: 150 Yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: Dec 26 2015
Start Time: 7:00 Pm Cst
Start Location: 3 N Ennis / Ellis / Texas

End Date: Dec 26 2015
End Time: 7:02 Pm Cst
End Location: 4 Ne Ennis / Ellis / Texas

Survey_Summary: Trained Spotters Observed A Tornado Approximately
3 Miles Northeast Of Ennis On The Evening Of The 26Th.

Copeville Tornado

These damage images begin from the south where the tornado started. They progress north as the tornado tracks to the north.

Copeville_1

Copeville_2

Copeville_3

.Copeville Tornado…

Rating: Ef-2
Estimated Peak Wind: 115-125 Mph
Path Length /Statute/: 5.5 Miles
Path Width /Maximum/: 200 Yards
Fatalities: 2
Injuries: N/A

Start Date: Dec 26 2015
Start Time: 7:09 Pm Cst
Start Location: 1 N Lavon / Collin / Texas
End Date: Dec 26 2015
End Time: 7:15 Pm Cst
End Location: 3 N Copeville / Collin / Texas

Farmersville Tornado

These images begin in the south and progress north along the tornado track.

Farmersville_1

Farmersville_2

Farmersville_3

.Farmersville Tornado…

Rating: Ef-1
Estimated Peak Wind: 95-105 Mph
Path Length /Statute/: 4 Miles
Path Width /Maximum/: 300 Yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 1

Start Date: Dec 26 2015
Start Time: 7:17 Pm Cst
Start Location: 2 W Farmersville / Collin / Texas
End Date: Dec 26 2015
End Time: 7:23 Pm Cst
End Location: 4 Nw Farmersville / Collin / Texas

Blue Ridge Tornado

These images begin in the south and progress north along the tornadoes track.

BlueRidge_1

BlueRidge_2

BlueRidge_3

.Blue Ridge Tornado…

Rating: Ef-1
Estimated Peak Wind: 90-100 Mph
Path Length /Statute/: 5 Miles
Path Width /Maximum/: 250 Yards
Fatalities: 1
Injuries: N/A

Start Date: Dec 26 2015
Start Time: 7:33 Pm Cst
Start Location: 3 Se Blue Ridge / Collin / Texas

End Date: Dec 26 2015
End Time: 7:38 Pm Cst
End Location: 5 Ne Blue Ridge

Ef Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale Classifies
Tornadoes Into The Following Categories.

Ef0…Weak……65 To 85 Mph
Ef1…Weak……86 To 110 Mph
Ef2…Strong….111 To 135 Mph
Ef3…Strong….136 To 165 Mph
Ef4…Violent…166 To 200 Mph
Ef5…Violent…>200 Mph

December 27, 2015 Tornadoes

Woodlawn Tornado north of Marshal

Jefferson

…Woodlawn Tornado In Harrison County In Northeast Texas…

Rating: Ef-2
Estimated Peak Wind: 110-120 Mph
Path Length /Statute/: 7.83 Miles
Path Width /Maximum/: 300 Yards
Fatalities: None
Injuries: None

Start Date: Dec 27 2015
Start Time: 439 Pm Cst
Start Location: 6.6 Miles North Northeast Of Marshall
Start Lat/Lon: 32.6228 / -94.3216

End Date: Dec 27 2015
End Time: 451 Pm Cst
End Location: 5 Miles South Southeast Of Jefferson
End_Lat/Lon: 32.7299 / -94.2801

Survey_Summary: The Tornado Snapped And Uprooted Trees Along Suburban
Acres Road…And Then Moved North Where It Caused Damage To Several Homes
And Outbuildings Along Fm 1793. Two Mobile Homes Were Completely Destroyed
Along Fm 1793. Several More Homes And Outbuildings Were Damaged Along Blackjack
Road And Pope City Road As The Tornado Continued North. The Tornado Lifted
Along Fm 134 Just Before Reaching The Little Cypress Bayou.

<b

Dekalb

…3 Miles Wsw Of Dekalb Texas…

Rating: Ef-0
Estimated Peak Wind: 75-85 Mph
Path Length /Statute/: 3.26 Miles
Path Width /Maximum/: 75 Yards
Fatalities: None
Injuries: None

Start Date: Dec 27 2015
Start Time: 306 Pm Cst
Start Location: 3 Miles West Southwest Of Dekalb
Start Lat/Lon: 33.4971 / -94.6687

End Date: Dec 27 2015
End Time: 310 Pm Cst
End Location: 4 Miles Northwest Of Dekalb
End_Lat/Lon: 33.5395 / -94.6689

Survey_Summary: The Tornado Partially Lifted The Roof Off
Of A Mobile Home Along Cr4251. The Tornado Continued North And
Snapped Several Trees Before Lifting Along Cr3306.

At LEAST 9 Tornadoes Confirmed from December 26 Outbreak

SnapShot

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has published a preliminary finding on their storm surveys from today. Due to the number of possible tornadoes and the overall scope of the event it’ll take a couple more days to survey all damage areas. The strongest tornado struck Garland and was rated an EF-4. This was the first EF-4 tornado in Dallas county since the Lancaster tornado back in 1994. That was the first EF-4 tornado in the month of December to ever impact Texas. Finally this was the first EF-4 tornado to strike the United States in December since December 16, 2000.It goes without saying yesterday’s event was historic. The Garland tornado continued into Rowlett and eventually Collin County. Another significant tornado struck northern Ellis county and southern Dallas county. Other tornadoes impacted more towns and will be surveyed in Monday. A total of eleven individuals were killed with dozens injured. Hundreds of structures were destroyed and many lives were changed forever. Once the surveys are complete I’ll compile a post with specific survey graphics for each tornado. Since the results are still preliminary I’ll leave you with the report text.

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
755 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

…NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR DECEMBER 26TH TORNADO EVENT…

.OVERVIEW…SEVERAL TORNADOES WERE OBSERVED DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING OF SATURDAY DECEMBER 26TH. THE STRONGEST TORNADO PRODUCED
EF4 DAMAGE IN THE CITY OF GARLAND…AS WELL AS EF3 DAMAGE IN THE CITY OF
ROWLETT. THIS TORNADO PRODUCED A CONTINUOUS PATH OF DAMAGE FOR APPROXIMATELY
13 MILES IN DALLAS AND ROCKWALL COUNTIES. THE TORNADO CAUSED 8 FATALITIES
MOST OF WHICH NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF INTERSTATE 30 AND THE PRESIDENT
GEORGE BUSH TURNPIKE. TWO TORNADOES WERE CONFIRMED IN COLLIN COUNTY…NEAR
COPEVILLE…WHERE EF2 DAMAGE WAS OBSERVED BY NWS SURVEY CREWS. TORNADO
DAMAGE WAS ALSO OBSERVED NEAR BLUE RIDGE…WHERE EF0 DAMAGE WAS OBSERVED.
TWO FATALITIES HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN COPEVILLE…AND ONE FATALITY WAS
REPORTED IN BLUE RIDGE.

IN TOTAL…THERE HAVE BEEN NINE CONFIRMED TORNADOES AND 11 FATALITIES
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING OF THE 26TH. NOT ALL OF THE TORNADO
DAMAGE HAS BEEN SURVEYED AND ADDITIONAL SURVEYS ARE PLANNED FOR MONDAY.
ALL TIMES LISTED ARE APPROXIMATE AND WILL BE FURTHER REFINED. AS OF SUNDAY
NIGHT…THESE ARE THE CONFIRMED TORNADOES FROM THE 26TH. THIS NUMBER MAY
GO UP WITH FURTHER SURVEYS.

.HUBBARD TORNADO…

RATING: EF-0
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 70-80 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 3 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 50 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

START DATE: DEC 26 2015
START TIME: 203 PM CST
START LOCATION: 3N HUBBARD / HILL / TEXAS

END DATE: DEC 26 2015
END TIME: 209 PM CST
END LOCATION: 6N HUBBARD / HILL / TEXAS

.OVILLA / GLENN HEIGHTS TORNADO…

RATING: EF-N/A
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: N/A MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: N/A MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: N/A YARDS
FATALITIES: UNKNOWN
INJURIES: UNKNOWN

START DATE: DEC 26 2015
START TIME: N/A
START LOCATION: N/A

END DATE: DEC 26 2015
END TIME: N/A
END LOCATION: N/A

SURVEY_SUMMARY: THIS TORNADO CAN BE CONFIRMED DUE TO SPOTTER REPORTS.
SEVERAL AREAS FROM MIDLOTHIAN TO GLENN HEIGHTS WILL BE SURVEYED ON
MONDAY

.ENNIS TORNADO…

RATING: EF-N/A
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: N/A MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: N/A MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: N/A YARDS
FATALITIES: UNKNOWN
INJURIES: UNKNOWN

START DATE: DEC 26 2015
START TIME: N/A
START LOCATION: N/A

END DATE: DEC 26 2015
END TIME: N/A
END LOCATION: N/A

SURVEY_SUMMARY: TRAINED SPOTTERS OBSERVED A TORNADO APPROXIMATELY
3 MILES NORTHEAST OF ENNIS ON THE EVENING OF THE 26TH. THIS AREA WILL
BE SURVEYED AS WELL ON MONDAY.

.EUSTACE TORNADO…

RATING: EF-0
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 70 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 1 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 40 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

START DATE: DEC 26 2015
START TIME: 2:44 PM CST
START LOCATION: 2NE EUSTACE / HENDERSON / TEXAS

END DATE: DEC 26 2015
END TIME: 2:47 PM CST
END LOCATION: 3NE EUSTACE / HENDERSON / TEXAS

.SULPHUR SPRINGS TORNADO…

RATING: EF-0
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 70 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 0.5 MILE
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 25 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

START DATE: DEC 26 2015
START TIME: 5:33 PM CST
START LOCATION: 3 S SULPHUR SPRINGS / HOPKINS / TEXAS

END DATE: DEC 26 2015
END TIME: 5:34 PM CST
END LOCATION: 2S SULPHUR SPRINGS / HOPKINS / TEXAS

SURVEY_SUMMARY: THIS TORNADO WAS OBSERVED AND PHOTOGRAPHED BY
TRAINED SPOTTERS.

.EMORY TORNADO…

RATING: EF-0
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 70 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 1.0 MILE
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 75 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

START DATE: DEC 26 2015
START TIME: 5:22 PM CST
START LOCATION: 3NE EMORY / RAINS / TEXAS

END DATE: DEC 26 2015
END TIME: 5:23 PM CST
END LOCATION: 3NE EMORY / RAINS / TEXAS

SURVEY_SUMMARY: THIS TORNADO WAS OBSERVED AND REPORTED BY TRAINED
SPOTTERS.

.SUNNYVALE / GARLAND / ROWLETT…

RATING: EF-4
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 170-180 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 13 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 550 YARDS
FATALITIES: 8
INJURIES: 7+

START DATE: DEC 26 2015
START TIME: 6:45 PM CST
START LOCATION: SUNNYVALE / DALLAS / TEXAS

END DATE: DEC 26 2015
END TIME: 7:05 PM CST
END LOCATION: LAKE RAY HUBBARD / ROCKWALL / TEXAS

.COPEVILLE TORNADO…

RATING: EF-2
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 115-125 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 7.3 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 150 YARDS
FATALITIES: 2
INJURIES: N/A

START DATE: DEC 26 2015
START TIME: 7:28 PM CST
START LOCATION: COPEVILLE / COLLIN / TEXAS

END DATE: DEC 26 2015
END TIME: 7:42 PM CST
END LOCATION: 2NW FARMERSVILLE / COLLIN / TEXAS

.BLUE RIDGE TORNADO…

RATING: EF-0
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 70-80 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 3 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 80 YARDS
FATALITIES: 1
INJURIES: N/A

START DATE: DEC 26 2015
START TIME: 7:48 PM CST
START LOCATION: 1SE BLUE RIDGE / COLLIN / TEXAS

END DATE: DEC 26 2015
END TIME: 7:52 PM CST
END LOCATION: 2NE BLUE RIDGE

EF SCALE: THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE CLASSIFIES
TORNADOES INTO THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES.

EF0…WEAK……65 TO 85 MPH
EF1…WEAK……86 TO 110 MPH
EF2…STRONG….111 TO 135 MPH
EF3…STRONG….136 TO 165 MPH
EF4…VIOLENT…166 TO 200 MPH
EF5…VIOLENT…>200 MPH

NOTE:
THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENTS AND PUBLICATION IN
NWS STORM DATA.

Confirmed Large TORNADO in DeSoto area – Heading North at 40mph

6:30pm UPDATE:  The circulation has diminished, but this storm could recycle again as it heads north and closer to downtown Dallas.  The storm on its present course should clip the areas just to the southeast and east of downtown.  Residents in the path of this storm are encouraged to seek shelter now.

Significant threat of a large tornado entering southern Dallas county and approaching the DeSoto area. This is a confirmed large and dangerous tornado and residents in DeSoto, Red Oak, Lancaster and Hutchins need to be seeing shelter now.  This tornado is heading North/Northeast at approx 40mph.  Screen Shot 2015-12-26 at 6.13.40 PM

ELLIS TX-DALLAS TX-
614 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CST FOR NORTH
CENTRAL ELLIS AND CENTRAL DALLAS COUNTIES...

AT 612 PM CST...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS
LOCATED OVER DESOTO...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. 

SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. 

IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY 
         BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES 
         WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO 
         HOMES...BUSINESSES AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE    
DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE. THIS DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO IS MOVING INTO
DESOTO AND LANCASTER. IF YOU ARE NEAR THIS STORM...TAKE COVER
IMMEDIATELY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE!

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  WILMER AROUND 620 PM CST.
  HUTCHINS AND COCKRELL HILL AROUND 625 PM CST.
  BALCH SPRINGS AROUND 635 PM CST.
  UNIVERSITY PARK AND HIGHLAND PARK AROUND 640 PM CST.
  GARLAND AND MESQUITE AROUND 645 PM CST.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...
 INTERSTATE 35E BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 410 AND 436.
 INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 457 AND 477.
 INTERSTATE 30 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 34 AND 63.
 INTERSTATE 45 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 272 AND 284.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A LARGE...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY
TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE
TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY
BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE
TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3252 9675 3252 9690 3255 9697 3287 9703
      3288 9652
TIME...MOT...LOC 0012Z 202DEG 35KT 3258 9685 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...1.00IN

Significant Winter Storm Likely This Weekend – Panhandle/Western TX

gfs_6hr_snow_acc_texas_23

Forecast confidence is increasing that the Texas panhandle and parts of the south plains and far western Texas will be impacted by a significant winter storm beginning Saturday afternoon and lasting through early Monday.  By early Saturday, a strong upper level system will be approaching from the west, becoming cut off and lingering in close proximity to western Texas a good 48 hours before ejecting off to the northeast.  A strong cold front will also arrive early Saturday and quickly drop temperatures across much of the panhandle down to freezing by Saturday afternoon.  Wintry precipitation is expected to begin by Saturday afternoon or evening, increasing in intensity by early Sunday with periods of heavy snow continuing into early Monday.  Blizzard conditions are also likely with strong north winds behind the cold front.  Exact details have not been nailed down yet, and likely won’t be until we get closer to the weekend, but folks with travel plans across this region will need to begin making alternate plans now with the expectation of several days of travel disruption across the area.

LUB AMA

I know the next question will be…”Will this make it to Dallas or Ft. Worth???”  The answer right now is no…not likely.  While north central Texas will see abundant rainfall across the region this weekend (and we’ll address that in a different blog) most of the forecast models are keeping this winter system off to the northwest with no impacts for the DFW metro area.  We will continue to watch for any changes in the track or strength of the system in case any of that changes.

FWD

Snowfall accumulations across the panhandle may reach or exceed 6 inches, with some pockets of 12+ inches also possible.  Both of our long-range forecast models showing a greater amount of consistency than we were seeing a few days ago which is why the forecast confidence in this significant winter storm is increasing…and concerning.   Blowing snow is pretty much a given which will pile it up in some places more than others, so we’ll likely see quite a varied amount of snowfall reports across the region before it’s all said and done.  In addition to blowing snow, residents across the region will also experience some pretty brutal wind chills on Sunday…likely down into the single digits…with strong north winds expected behind the front.  Again, if you had planned on travel across this region this weekend, it would be best to pick a different route to your ultimate destination.

gfs_6hr_snow_acc_texas_23 GFS Sunday Morning Screen Shot 2015-12-22 at 9.19.06 PM

 

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