A line of strong to severe thunderstorms continues to progress east across North and now parts of Central Texas. Behind the line of storms skies quickly clear and its a fairly beautiful late afternoon. I’m assuming most of you have already seen some of the wind damage photos out of the D/FW Metroplex so I’ll spare you from rehashing all of that. At 5:45 PM the leading edge of the storms was alone a line from 10 miles east of Paris, Wills Point, southwest to Ennis. From there a broken line of storms extends to just west of West, TX to Evant. These storms are moving east at 30 to 45 MPH. The strongest storms in Northeast/East Texas have a continued history of producing wind gusts up to 80 MPH with significant wind damage. Hail up to the size of golfballs has been common with the strongest hail cores. The largest hail we saw earlier was near baseballs in Podner and Denton but that was while storms where discrete and not linear.
I see little reason why these storms won’t continue to move east for the next several hours. Continued development to the south along the cold front is expected and Central Texas will start dealing with more severe weather within the next hour or two. Severe weather in the form of large hail and damaging winds will be possible with the strongest storms. With so many warnings in effect we simply cannot share them all. The best way to keep up with storms in your area is to use the local weather pages and our interactive radar at www.texasstormchasers.com/radar
Severe Storm Warning: Bosque, Hill, McLennan Counties till 6 PM
Thursday, 02 October 2014 17:07
Severe Thunderstorm Warning for parts of Bosque, Hill, and McLennan Counties in Central Texas. A severe thunderstorm with supercellular characteristics is located 10 miles southwest of Lake Whitney State Park and is moving east at 35 MPH. This storm is capable of producing golf ball size hail and damaging winds over 60 MPH. This storm should cross Interstate 35 near Abbott and West passing between Hillsboro and Waco.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 502 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… SOUTHEASTERN BOSQUE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS… SOUTHERN HILL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS… NORTHERN MCLENNAN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS…
* UNTIL 600 PM CDT
* AT 502 PM CDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL…AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAKE WHITNEY STATE PARK…MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR… LAKE WHITNEY STATE PARK AND WHITNEY AROUND 510 PM… WEST AND HILLSBORO AROUND 535 PM… BYNUM AROUND 545 PM…
IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE…SEEK SHELTER IN A STRONG BUILDING AND STAY INSIDE…AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Issued for North & Central TX
Thursday, 02 October 2014 14:04
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for much of North and Central Texas. Parts of East Texas are also included in the watch which runs until 9 PM. Gainesville, Denton, Fort Worth, Dallas, Granbury, Brownwood, Killeen, Round Rock, Waco, Corsicana, Palestine, Tyler, Longview, Mount Pleasant, and Greenville are all in this watch. Thunderstorms have already begun to rapidly develop in Wise County where large hail is now falling. Additional thunderstorm development is anticipated along a cold front with a squall line expected in a few hours. Storms should begin moving into the D/FW metroplex by 3 PM and then after 5 PM points east. Storms as a whole are moving northeast at 30 MPH but we could see some deviant motions with splitting supercells.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 518
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
155 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST INTO CENTRAL TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BELL BOSQUE
BROWN BURNET CAMP
CHEROKEE COLLIN COMANCHE
COOKE CORYELL DALLAS
DELTA DENTON ELLIS
ERATH FALLS FANNIN
FRANKLIN FREESTONE GRAYSON
GREGG HAMILTON HENDERSON
HILL HOOD HOPKINS
HUNT JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR LAMPASAS LEON
LIMESTONE LLANO MCLENNAN
MILAM MILLS MORRIS
NAVARRO PARKER RAINS
RED RIVER ROBERTSON ROCKWALL
RUSK SAN SABA SMITH
SOMERVELL TARRANT TITUS
UPSHUR VAN ZANDT WILLIAMSON
Severe Thunderstorm Initiation Underway west of D/FW
Thursday, 02 October 2014 13:52
Rapid thunderstorm initiation is underway across western portions of North Texas early this afternoon. Thunderstorms have developed from just west of Marietta, OK south/southwest along an advancing cold front to Alvord and east of Perrin in southwest Wise county. These storms are moving northeast at 30 MPH and are already showing signs of producing small hail. These storms should continue to intensify and could become severe by 2:15 PM with large hail and gusty winds. Additional thunderstorm development is expected along the cold front further south over the next hour or two. The Storm Prediction Center in conjunction with the National Weather Service will likely issue a Severe Thunderstorm Watch shortly for portions of North and Central Texas. We expect thunderstorms to begin impacting the D/FW Metroplex after 3 PM.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 150 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… WISE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS…
* UNTIL 245 PM CDT
* AT 150 PM CDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL…AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BOONSVILLE…MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR… BOONSVILLE AROUND 155 PM… BRIDGEPORT AROUND 215 PM… CHICO AROUND 220 PM…
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF N-CNTRL...CNTRL...AND NERN TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 021839Z - 021945Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A COLD
FRONT AS IT MOVES EWD THROUGH THE REGION. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL
POTENTIALLY BE CAPABLE OF AN ISOLD LARGE HAIL AND STRONG/LOCALLY
SEVERE WIND GUST THREAT.
(Central) Flash Flood Warning for Burnet & Williamson Counties until 7:30 PM
Thursday, 18 September 2014 16:06
A Flash Flood Warning has been issued for Burnet and Williamson Counties in Central Texas until 7:45 PM. A band of thunderstorms is producing very heavy rain. A weather observer measured 1.45 inches of rain in only 30 minutes near Jarrell at 4:40 PM. This area received several inches of rain last night and early this morning which resulted in Flash Flooding. The ground is still completely saturated and unable to handle much rain. Flash flooding is expected to rapidly start back up again. An additional 3 to 4 inches of rain is possible through 6:30 PM. This has the potential to become a significant flood situation over the next two hours based on what happened this morning and the already saturated/full streams. Track the storms near you at www.texasstormchasers.com/radar
FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 448 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR… BURNET COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS… THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…BURNET…BERTRAM… WILLIAMSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS… THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…
* UNTIL 745 PM CDT
* AT 447 PM CDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETERMINED THAT SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING. AT 438 PM CDT…A COOPERATIVE OBSERVER 2 MILES NORTH OF JARRELL REPORTED 1.45 INCHES OF RAIN FALLING IN ONLY 30 MINUTES. EXPECT RAINFALL RATES OF 3 TO 4 INCHES TO BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 630 PM CDT.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SUN CITY…BURNET…BERTRAM…TAYLOR…SERENADA…GRANGER… GEORGETOWN… MAHOMET…JOPPA…SUNNYLANE…LAKE VICTOR…WATSON…SHADY GROVE…OATMEAL…LIBERTY HILL…WEIR…JARRELL…HUTTO…GRANGER DAM…GEORGETOWN DAM…FLORENCE…BARTLETT…ANDICE AND BRIGGS