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Tag Archives: CDT

Cold Front Arrives Tomorrow – Snow Possible Across Parts of West Texas

2016-03-31_18-02-05

I’ve seen plenty of crazy weather having lived in Texas for well over 40 years, but a new record high of 100 degrees in McAllen today, then snow in the forecast for parts of west Texas on Friday, pretty much takes 1st prize for nutty! And on April Fools day, too.  What a coincidence!  At any rate,  a strong cold front will arrive tomorrow bringing gusty north winds behind it.  Just a reminder from Old Man Winter that he’s not quite done with us yet.  In addition to the cold front, a strong upper level low will move through southern New Mexico and southwest Texas on Friday which will provide lift to generate a wintry mix of wet snow and rain during the day on Friday.  Thankfully, snowfall threats will only impact parts of the southern Texas panhandle and the northern Permian Basin region and nowhere else.  Quick accumulations of 1-2 inches can be expected during the day on Friday.  Impacts to roadways are expected to be minimal except in areas where slush on the roadway can accumulate.  A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for the following counties in effect between 7am and 6pm CDT on Friday: Andrews, Crosby, Garza, Hockley, Lubbock, Lynn, Terry, Yoakum and the Guadalupe Mountains Region.  This includes the cities of Lubbock, Levelland, Brownfield, Tahoka, Post, Lamesa, Seminole, Andrews and Pine Springs in the Guadalupe Mountains National Park area.   2016-03-31_18-02-05

The cold front will arrive across the northern half of the state during the early morning to mid-day time frame.  By late afternoon and into the evening hours, the front will push through the southern half of the state…including the Rio Grande Valley region. This will be a nice respite from the well above normal temperatures experienced today, and again tomorrow ahead of the front.  But as quickly as Old Man Winter arrives on Friday, his visit will be short and he’ll be leaving by Saturday as we see high pressure begin to settle in and temperatures quickly recover back to normal by Saturday, and above normal by early next week.

Lows Tonight Highs Friday

We will also have a chance for showers and a few thunderstorms overnight into early tomorrow morning across parts of southwest and south central Texas.  Lift from the approaching upper level low will begin to generate scattered showers overnight along the Rio Grande and Edwards Plateau region which will expand east during the day tomorrow.  A few of the storms could become marginally severe with gusty winds and small hail ahead of the cold front across south central/southeast Texas, but at this time, the atmosphere does not look to become unstable enough to support much in the way of severe storms.  After this, it looks like we remain dry through most of the next work week before our next rainmaker arrives.

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Tornado Watch – West Central TX until 9am CDT

Overnight, a large squall line of strong to severe storms developed across the panhandle and western TX which has moved east into the eastern panhandle and down into western north Texas overnight.  While the overall tornado threat is very low, a few spin-ups are possible along the leading edge of the squall line as it advances east this morning across the eastern Permian Basin and Big Country.  Regardless of any low chances for tornado development, the greatest threat through the morning hours will be gusty winds in excess of 50mph along the leading edge of the squall line, and very intense rainfall just behind it.  Flash flooding is a distinct possibility, especially for areas that are typically flood prone to begin with.  We’ll have additional updates out later this morning with today’s forecast!  Stay safe and remember…do not drive across flooded roadways!

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 518
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   100 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     WEST TEXAS

   * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING FROM 100 AM UNTIL 900 AM CDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
     ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

   SUMMARY...BROKEN SSW-NNE SQUALL LINE WITH EMBEDDED EXPECTED TO EDGE
   SLOWLY E ACROSS W TX THROUGH SUNRISE. WITH MID AND UPPER-LEVEL FLOW
   AND ASCENT EXPECTED TO SLIGHTLY INCREASE WITH THE GLANCING INFLUENCE
   OF NRN MEXICO SHORTWAVE TROUGH...AND WITH LOW-LVL SELY WINDS
   ADVECTING MORE MOISTURE-RICH AIR TO REGION...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
   FOR OCCASIONAL EMBEDDED CIRCULATIONS/SMALL BOW ECHOES WITH A RISK
   FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES AND LOCALLY-DAMAGING WIND.

   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
   FORT STOCKTON TEXAS TO 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF PLAINVIEW TEXAS.

Severe Thunderstorm WATCH – Western Texas until 10pm CDT

A severe thunderstorm WATCH has been issued for parts of the Texas panhandle and western Texas until 10pm this evening.  A few storms are already ongoing across parts of northwest Texas and also in the trans-Pecos region east of Ft. Davis.  Additional storms are likely to fire up across eastern New Mexico within the next couple of hours and slowly make their way east across the border into the southern panhandle and west Texas later this afternoon and evening.  The storms that form this afternoon are expected to start out as isolated, then eventually congeal and merge into a large complex which will work its way east across this region into the early nighttime hours before dissipating after midnight.  Large hail over 2 inches in diameter and damaging winds will be the primary threats, but an isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out early on before the storms congeal.  In addition to those threats, there will also be the chance of localized flash flooding under any of the stronger cells that develops.  Residents across the area will need to keep an eye on the sky this evening if you have outdoor plans!

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Simulated radar through 4am tomorrow morning.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 297
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   200 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2015

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     EASTERN NEW MEXICO
     WESTERN TEXAS

   * EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 200 PM UNTIL
     1000 PM CDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
       TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
     SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
     A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

   SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING A FEW
   SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO MOVE/DEVELOP EASTWARD FROM EASTERN NM INTO
   W TX THROUGH THIS EVENING.  OTHER STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO
   FORM/STRENGTHEN OVER EASTERN PARTS OF THE TX SOUTH PLAINS. SOME OF
   THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL...LOCALLY DAMAGING
   WIND...AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO.

   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH
   NORTHEAST OF CANNON AFB NEW MEXICO TO 45 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
   MARFA TEXAS.

Monday’s Weather Roundup – Somewhat unsettled weather pattern through Thursday

Good morning and happy Monday!  Temps will start creeping back up to seasonal norms this week, and we’ll have rain chances over various parts of the state through the early part of the week thanks to a low pressure system in the gulf plus mid/upper level moisture streaming in from the remnants of Hurricane Odile.  Major flooding is possible across the southern half of the desert southwest mid-week, and far western Texas will see some of that as well by Tuesday-Wednesday.

current radar

For today, rain chances will be highest across north central, central and southwest Texas this morning as a weak little disturbance moves east across northern Texas.  Later this afternoon, showers along the coast will be possible, as well as across parts of the panhandle and western north Texas as a weak cool front drops south into the area.  Overnight, we expect to see rain chances pick up across far western Texas as moisture from dissipating Odile increases.

POPs

Highs today, pleasant and still a few degrees below seasonal norms thanks in part to the fairly extensive cloud cover expected over most of the state today.  But, as mentioned above, temps will be slowly climbing back up into the realms of normal for this time of year as we head through the week.  By end of week, we’ll be looking at a return of primarily warm and rather muggy conditions.

Highs Lows

Update on Hurricane Odile…she made landfall near Cabo San Lucas around 04:45 UTC (11:45pm CDT) with winds estimated at roughly 127mph according to the National Hurricane Center.  This ties Odile with Olivia (1967) as the strongest hurricane (on record) to make landfall in the state of Baja California Sur.

vis0-lalo

southcentral.wv 

 

Radar Update – 6:45PM CDT – Hill Country Region

Lots of rain for folks in and around Goldthwaite, San Saba, Llano and Kingsland this evening!  A couple of counties in this region were severe warned earlier, but looks like things are beginning to calm down a bit.  Small Stream Flood Advisories have been posted for waterways in Llano and Burnet counties until 8:30pm CDT.  Runoff from this afternoon’s rain is expected to impact area creeks and low water crossings through the evening with an additional 1 to 2 inches of additional rain possible over the next couple of hours.  After sunset, the storms are expected to diminish with loss of daytime heating.  Some showers may continue through the overnight hours, but continuous heavy rain is not expected overnight.

current radar

 

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