Texas Storm Chasers http://texasstormchasers.com All About Texas Weather Wed, 27 Jul 2016 11:33:29 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.5.3 http://tsc.texasstormchaser.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/cropped-Twister-32x32.png Texas Storm Chasers http://texasstormchasers.com 32 32 Scattered Afternoon Thunderstorms Again… http://texasstormchasers.com/2016/07/27/scattered-afternoon-thunderstorms/ Wed, 27 Jul 2016 11:33:29 +0000 http://texasstormchasers.com/?p=46131 Unsettled summer weather continues today with more afternoon thunderstorm chances. Temperatures will top out near normal with highs in the middle to upper 90s. Portions of East Texas may actually only top out in the upper 80s depending on how quickly storms start to fire up today. Just like the past two days temperatures may […]

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Unsettled summer weather continues today with more afternoon thunderstorm chances. Temperatures will top out near normal with highs in the middle to upper 90s. Portions of East Texas may actually only top out in the upper 80s depending on how quickly storms start to fire up today. Just like the past two days temperatures may peak in the early afternoon before cooling as storms increase this afternoon. Compared to our usual dry and hot summer weather I Think we’ll take it!

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Scatterded thunderstorms are expected to develop once again this afternoon across the state. The best chance for a popup storm will be in North Texas, Central Texas, East Texas, Southeast Texas, and Far West Texas. Isolated storms will be possible pretty much anywhere today. The first storms that develop will produce outflow boundaries which will then help additional storms develop. That process will continue through the mid-afternoon hours before we see storm coverage start to decrease. A couple storms will remain possible into the evening hours.

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Strong storms will be possible this afternoon with an unstable airmass in place. The strongest storms could produce microburst winds, very localized damaging winds, over 60 MPH. Locally heavy rain and frequent cloud to ground lightning is a good bet with storms today. Widespread severe weather and flash flooding is not expected. Besides needed rains those who end up under or near a storm will likely drop into the upper 70s to lower 80s for a nice cool off.

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More Popup Storms This Afternoon http://texasstormchasers.com/2016/07/26/popup-storms-afternoon/ Tue, 26 Jul 2016 11:14:57 +0000 http://texasstormchasers.com/?p=46126 Unsettled weather continues today now that our pesky upper level heat dome has shifted into the Southwest United States. Temperatures will be a couple degrees lower today along with continued precipitation chances. High temperatures may be reached in the late morning in some locations due to afternoon rain chances. Those of you lucky enough to […]

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Unsettled weather continues today now that our pesky upper level heat dome has shifted into the Southwest United States. Temperatures will be a couple degrees lower today along with continued precipitation chances. High temperatures may be reached in the late morning in some locations due to afternoon rain chances. Those of you lucky enough to get a shower/storm will enjoy temperatures cooling off into the upper 70s and 80s.

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We’re anticipating additional isolated to scattered thunderstorms to develop by the early afternoon hours. The best chance for storms will be in Northwest Texas, West Texas, and a second enhanced corridor in South-Central Texas and Southeast Texas. Isolated showers and storms will be possible across all of Texas today and tonight. Wind shear values are weak and organized severe thunderstorms are not expected. Due to the unstable airmass in place we’ll see a couple strong storms with localized damaging winds and heavy rain. Any sort of flooding threat will remain very localized. Thunderstorm coverage will diminish by early evening, but isolated activity will remain possible into the night.

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Another Round of Showers and Storms on Tuesday http://texasstormchasers.com/2016/07/25/another-round-showers-storms-tuesday/ Tue, 26 Jul 2016 01:25:51 +0000 http://texasstormchasers.com/?p=46121 Atmospheric conditions tomorrow are expected to be similar to what we saw today with an abundance of moisture in place across central and eastern Texas, a weak upper level disturbance just to our east, and a strong ridge of high pressure centered over the desert southwest. Today’s round of storms across the north central, eastern […]

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Atmospheric conditions tomorrow are expected to be similar to what we saw today with an abundance of moisture in place across central and eastern Texas, a weak upper level disturbance just to our east, and a strong ridge of high pressure centered over the desert southwest. Today’s round of storms across the north central, eastern and south central regions of the state are expected to diminish over the next couple of hours, then redevelop along the coast by early tomorrow. Once we begin to heat up during the early afternoon hours tomorrow, another round of stronger and more numerous showers is expected to develop similar to what we saw today with the bulk of activity mainly south of the I-20 corridor. Only a few of the storms today reached severe limits with 60mph winds and some small hail reported, so much the same is expected tomorrow leaving the main threats as heavy downpours, brief periods of localized flooding, gusty winds and cloud to ground lightning. Most of the activity should diminish within a few hours after sunset and loss of daytime heating. The exception to that will be across the panhandle where northwest flow in the upper levels may drive any storms that develop across eastern New Mexico and southeastern Colorado into the panhandle region during the late evening and overnight hours. Confidence in that is low at this time, but it’s worth watching tomorrow evening if something gets going.

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Highs tomorrow will be close to or just below seasonal averages for this time of the year. Anytime we can get rain, cloud cover and temps below average in July is a rare treat, and we’ll enjoy it for as long as we can! Temperatures stay around average for the remainder of the work week, then it looks like we may gradually heat up again as high pressure tries to build back in by early next week.

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Afternoon Storms Expected in Eastern Half of Texas http://texasstormchasers.com/2016/07/25/afternoon-storms-expected-eastern-half-texas/ Mon, 25 Jul 2016 11:32:07 +0000 http://texasstormchasers.com/?p=46108 After a week and a half of talking about heat and isolated showers we finally have something more interesting to discuss. The heat dome has shifted into the Southwest United States. In its wake we’re now moving into a more unsettled weather pattern. This unsettled pattern means less hot temperatures and increased chances for rain. […]

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After a week and a half of talking about heat and isolated showers we finally have something more interesting to discuss. The heat dome has shifted into the Southwest United States. In its wake we’re now moving into a more unsettled weather pattern. This unsettled pattern means less hot temperatures and increased chances for rain. The rain chances are are a good thing. A flash drought is quickly developing and we’re going to be in a world of hurt fire-wise sooner rather than later if we don’t get rains. All the rains this past winter and spring let growth once again become abundant. Several weeks of hot temperatures and dry weather has resulted in a quick drying out of surface grasses. Given a few more weeks of drying we’ll quickly be in a flash drought. Luckily I believe we’re going to avoid that in some regions.

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Scatterded to numerous thunderstorms will develop by early afternoon near and east of Interstate 35. The best chances for numerous thunderstorms will be in Southeast Texas this afternoon, but there will be scattered to numerous storms from D/FW into Northeast Texas, East Texas, the Brazos Valley, and Central Texas. Isolated to scattered storms can be expected in Northwest Texas, the Big Country, Concho Valley, and South Texas. Today will probably be the most active day storm-wise that we’ve seen in several weeks. We’re not talking about widespread severe storms by any means. Little wind shear is present and you need wind shear to support longer-lived, organized storms. An unstable airmass with plenty of moisture will undoubtedly support stronger popup storms today. The main threat will be localized microbursts with winds in the 50 to 70 MPH range. Most storms will not be that intense. Very heavy rains are probable under storms today, but they shouldn’t last too long. The threat of flash flooding will be limited and confined to locations that end up under storms for a prolonged period.

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Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible later this afternoon in the Texas Panhandle and West Texas. These storms will be high-based with severe weather unlikely. We may see isolated to widely scattered storms continue into the evening hours.

Temperatures will quickly top out in the lower to upper 90s this afternoon. Even with increasing clouds and storms temperatures will warm up quickly this morning. By this afternoon folks near storms will enjoy outflow and a cool off into the 80s.

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Shower and thunderstorm chances will continue most of this week as we remain east of the high pressure, heat dome. It’ll continue to be warm but decently cooler than what we saw last week.

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Another Hot Sunday – Rain Chances Increase Monday and Tuesday http://texasstormchasers.com/2016/07/24/another-hot-sunday-rain-chances-increase-monday-tuesday/ Sun, 24 Jul 2016 14:05:58 +0000 http://texasstormchasers.com/?p=46098 One more day of hot temps, then we’ll see the heatwave subside and temps drop back to more seasonal levels as the upper level ridge shifts west and stays there for the remainder of the work week. We will also see increasing chances for rain. This will by no means be a major rain event, and […]

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One more day of hot temps, then we’ll see the heatwave subside and temps drop back to more seasonal levels as the upper level ridge shifts west and stays there for the remainder of the work week. We will also see increasing chances for rain. This will by no means be a major rain event, and not everyone will see rain, but it’s always a welcomed addition to the forecast during our typically hot and dry summers.

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Highs today across the state will feature widespread upper 90s and low 100s. Heat index readings will be highest across the eastern half of the state where Heat Advisories remain in effect through late this evening. After today, we should see heat index values drop sufficiently to end the need for additional advisories through at least the middle of the work week. Across the western half of the state where we have much less humidity, heat index values will actually end up lower than the actual air temperature by a few degrees.

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Rain chances today will be similar to what we saw yesterday with scattered showers and storms concentrated across parts of east Texas. We’ll also see a chance at showers and storms developing across the northern Texas panhandle and far west Texas as we get into the late afternoon hours. Not expecting severe weather, but a few of the most vigorous storms have the potential to produce downburst winds, lightning and brief heavy downpours.

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Rain chances will be on the increase this week as the upper level ridge shifts off to the west and its influence over our hot and stagnant summertime weather pattern decreases. Monday and Tuesday, we expect to see a couple of weak upper level disturbances move in from the east. These will trigger scattered showers and storms primarily across the eastern portions of the state on Monday, and expanding in coverage area on Tuesday. Again, not a major rain maker by any means, but always a welcomed event in the middle of summer.

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Your Saturday Forecast – Ridge Shifts West Next Week http://texasstormchasers.com/2016/07/23/saturday-forecast-ridge-shifts-west-next-week/ Sat, 23 Jul 2016 13:57:58 +0000 http://texasstormchasers.com/?p=46085 Another day of widespread 100 degree highs across the state today, then we begin to see highs drop back to more seasonal levels as our current ridge of high pressure and its heat dome begins to drift west. This will also bring better rain chances into the state throughout the week as the ridge remains centered […]

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Another day of widespread 100 degree highs across the state today, then we begin to see highs drop back to more seasonal levels as our current ridge of high pressure and its heat dome begins to drift west. This will also bring better rain chances into the state throughout the week as the ridge remains centered over the desert southwest through most of next week. Today, most of the state will remain dry, but we will see some slight to 20% chances for seeing scattered showers develop this afternoon across far east and southeast Texas coastal zones. Nothing too severe with any of these spotty showers…just the general threats of lightning and brief heavy downpours to be aware of if you’re out and about this afternoon across this portion of the state.

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Highs today…sweltering once again with widespread 100 degree readings across the state. Lower humidity levels will keep heat index readings closer to the actual temperatures for areas west of the I-35 corridor. However, widespread heat index readings between 105 up to 110 will be felt across areas east of the I-35 corridor towards the Texas/Louisiana border. Heat Advisories remain in place through 7pm this evening for several counties across far east and northeast Texas. After today, we should see the need for these heat advisories diminish as the high pressure ridge shifts west and we begin to see the cool(er) effects of more easterly flow across the region.

East TX Heat

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A Look Ahead – Chances for more widespread rainfall increase Monday and Tuesday as the center of the high pressure ridge settles in over the desert southwest and opens the door for the approach of a weak upper level disturbance from the east. Unfortunately, not everyone will see rain, with the best chances remaining across the eastern half of the state. After Wednesday, with the high pressure ridge still centered well west of the state, the northern half of the state will likely see the return of northwest flow in the upper levels. This pattern tends to increase the chance of seeing nocturnal convection in form of squall lines that move south out of Oklahoma during the late evening and continue overnight into the early morning hours. Not a lot of confidence in that scenario just yet, but it will be worth watching as we get into the latter part of our next work week.

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Another Attempt at Triple Digit Heat; Slightly Less Hot Next Week http://texasstormchasers.com/2016/07/22/another-attempt-triple-digit-heat-slightly-less-hot-next-week/ Fri, 22 Jul 2016 11:45:02 +0000 http://texasstormchasers.com/?p=46079 El Paso, Del Rio, and D/FW International Airport all have not dropped below 81 degrees overnight. It’s possible that temperatures could still fall below 80 degrees but that makes little difference. It has been a classic summer night in Texas with lows in the 70s statewide. Alpine, which gets to enjoy the benefit of a […]

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El Paso, Del Rio, and D/FW International Airport all have not dropped below 81 degrees overnight. It’s possible that temperatures could still fall below 80 degrees but that makes little difference. It has been a classic summer night in Texas with lows in the 70s statewide. Alpine, which gets to enjoy the benefit of a higher elevation, made it into the upper 50s. With sunrise occuring at the time of this writing temperatures should be about as low as they’ll go this morning. It won’t take long for them to pick right back up into the 80s with 90s likely by 11 AM.

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High temperatures will top out in the upper 90s to lower 100s this afternoon across much of Texas. Higher humidity values along and east of Highway 183 will allow heat index values to top out around 105 degrees. Temperatures will rise up into the 90s by late morning with triple digit readings by mid-afternoon. We won’t see any records broken today as we would need to be closer to 107-112 degrees for previous records to be in danger. What we will see today is the chance for popup afternoon thunderstorms in East and Southeast Texas. The best chance for scattered storms will be in far Southeast Texas into Louisiana. We can’t rule out a rouge shower or storm anywhere along the coast today. Any activity that does develop will start diminishing by late afternoon and should be out of the picture by sunset.

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The upper level high pressure over us this week will move into the southwest United States by early next week. The result will be slightly less hot conditions in the state with increased chances of precipitation, especially east of Interstate 35. It will still be warm and humid, but at least we may have afternoon showers/storms to provide some a cool off.

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More Isolated Coastal Showers; Hotter Today http://texasstormchasers.com/2016/07/21/isolated-coastal-showers-hotter-today/ Thu, 21 Jul 2016 11:32:25 +0000 http://texasstormchasers.com/?p=46074 Temperatures this afternoon will be a couple degrees warmer than the past couple of days across Texas. That means more towns and cities will top out at or above the century mark. In terms of of heat we on’t be talking about record heat by any stretch of the imagination. We would need to be […]

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Temperatures this afternoon will be a couple degrees warmer than the past couple of days across Texas. That means more towns and cities will top out at or above the century mark. In terms of of heat we on’t be talking about record heat by any stretch of the imagination. We would need to be much closer to 110 degrees for the records to be in danger. Regardless it’ll be another hot day across the state, but most Texans are used to it. One benefit of the warmer air temperatures are that dewpoints are mixing out (or lowering) during the afternoon. That keeps the humidity and heat index lower. I can deal with the heat, but its the humidity that really puts a damper on my mood. The temperature forecast will be similiar tomorrow with more upper 90s to triple digit heat.

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As the seabreeze moves onshore later this morning we’ll see isolated showers and storms once again develop. The best chance for scattered showers will be in Southeast Texas. Isolated showers and storm will be possible down the coast into the Rio Grande Valley. By far most folks will remain dry today and rain chances quickly lower with inward extent. Look on the positive side. If by chance you have a shower pop up nearby you may get a quick cool off. The upper level high pressure responsible for this week’s heat and dry weather shifts into the southeast United States by early next week. We should see temperatures drop a couple of degrees with slightly better afternoon storm chances. No sign of any tropical-related issues in the next ten days. We do note water heat levels in the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean are abnormally high. That is jetfuel to hurricanes and will need to be watched closely. Until the eastern Pacific Basin calms down we should continue to stay comparatively quiet in the Atlantic Basin. That will likely change in August.

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Isolated Storms Along the Coast Again Today http://texasstormchasers.com/2016/07/20/isolated-storms-along-coast-today/ Wed, 20 Jul 2016 13:05:07 +0000 http://texasstormchasers.com/?p=46070 Temperatures this afternoon will be similar to what we experienced yesterday across Texas. The only difference in today’s forecast compared to yesterday will be lower rain chances along the coast. Isolated storms are still expected later this morning and afternoon as the sea breeze moves inland across Southeast Texas, the Middle Texas Coast, and Deep […]

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Temperatures this afternoon will be similar to what we experienced yesterday across Texas. The only difference in today’s forecast compared to yesterday will be lower rain chances along the coast. Isolated storms are still expected later this morning and afternoon as the sea breeze moves inland across Southeast Texas, the Middle Texas Coast, and Deep South Texas. Like the past two days a waterspout will be possible. Galveston dealt with a waterspout on Monday, Corpus Christi on Tuesday, so I wonder if/where we’ll see one today.

Any convective activity will dissipate by early evening with the loss of prime daytime heating. High temperatures will top out in the 90s for the most part with Laredo a candidate to make it to 101 degrees. Thursday through Saturday will feature slightly warmer temperatures with more locations topping out above the century mark. The upper level high pressure responsible for this week’s heat will shift into the southeast United States early next week. That may allow for some rain chances to return to parts of the state along with slightly less hot weather.

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Afternoon Seabreeze Showers Near the Coast http://texasstormchasers.com/2016/07/19/afternoon-seabreeze-showers-near-coast/ Tue, 19 Jul 2016 13:09:32 +0000 http://texasstormchasers.com/?p=46064 Today’s weather forecast is similar to yesterday’s with temperatures forecast to peak in the 90s this afternoon. Heat index values near and east of Interstate 35 will be in the 100 to 105 degree range. The cause of the higher heat index values in the east is due to higher humidity levels during the afternoon. […]

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Today’s weather forecast is similar to yesterday’s with temperatures forecast to peak in the 90s this afternoon. Heat index values near and east of Interstate 35 will be in the 100 to 105 degree range. The cause of the higher heat index values in the east is due to higher humidity levels during the afternoon. Being closer to the Gulf of Mexico means more moisture availability. Another aspect of weather forecasting near the coast is the afternoon occurrence of the seabreeze.

By late morning the seabreeze should be moving onshore with increasing shower and thunderstorm chances. The best chance for pockets of showers and storms will be during the early and middle afternoon hours in Southeast Texas south through the Middle Texas Coast into the Rio Grande Valley. Widespread severe weather is not expected but a waterspout or two could certainly dazzle tourists on the beaches. While waterspouts are usually quite weak you don’t want to be near one if it moves onshore – unless you like being sandblasted. Hey, we all have our quirks you know!

Shower activity will start to diminish in coverage by late afternoon as outflow boundaries start to stalizablize the airmass. By dinnertime most activity should be out of the picture with another warm, summer evening expected. Outside of rain chances near the coast this afternoon dry conditions are forecast for the remainder of Texas. High temperatures will be in the 90s with one or two spots getting above the century mark. Much of the same weather will continue through the week. An uptick in temperatures can be expected by the end of the work week as the triple digits become more common. Although lets be honest… at this point you can’t really tell too much difference in the heat. It’s hot!

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