Author: David Reimer

Highs in the 70s This Afternoon; Warming Trend this Weekend with Low Humidity

A cool front has now pushed out into the Gulf of Mexico and south into Mexico. For the first time this fall we’ve actually had a cold front progress through the entire state. Temperatures have yet to respond in Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley, but you’ll definitely be able to tell later this morning into the afternoon hours. The front has allowed a drier airmass to move into the state. This afternoon will feature low humidity values, mostly clear skies, and high temperatures ten to twenty degrees lower than earlier this week. High temperatures this afternoon will range from the lower 70s in North Texas and Northeast Texas up into the lower 80s in the western Texas Panhandle, South Texas, and the Rio Grande Valley. It is always a nice October day when you can talk about the hottest temperatures being in the lower 80s. Not only will temperatures be more appropriate for fall but humidity values will also be very comfortable. Overall a great fall day shaping up for Texas. A few showers will be possible in the Rio Grande Valley, but those chances will diminish with time. Clear skies, light winds, and a dry airmass mean radiational cooling conditions will be good tonight. Temperatures will quickly fall off after sunset into the 50s to middle 60s by mid-evening. By Saturday morning temperatures across Texas...

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Cool Front with Rain Chances Today; Much Cooler & Drier Behind the Front by Tomorrow

The leading edge of the cool front has pushed through all of the Permian Basin. It now extends into the Texas Hill Country northeast to near Hillsboro to Sulphur Springs to De Kalb. Winds north of the front are gusting out of the north at 20 to 35 MPH. You won’t notice an immediate cool down in temperatures/humidity behind the front. Those lag about 75 miles behind the front. However, as the front continues to push south today, dewpoints will drop into the 30s, 40s, and lower 50s. Temperatures themselves will also be slower to warm. Scattered showers and...

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4:15AM Cold Front & Storm Update

Scattered storms continue to impact North Texas, the Big Country, and the Concho Valley. These storms are generally moving to the east and are not severe. That said some of the storms are making quite a ruckus this morning. These storms are being produced by a southward moving cold front. The good news is it will feel much nicer later today as drier air moves in from the north. As for the cold front it’ll continue to move south today into much of Texas. Behind the front winds will become northerly and drier air will move in. It won’t be an immediate cool off, but humidity values will drop throughout the day. High temperatures north of the front should top out in the 70s. We’ll have a more detailed forecast in our usual morning weather roundup around 6:30...

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3:15PM Severe Weather & Evening Forecast Update

Compared with the forecast this morning there are little changes needed for the next few hours. The Storm Prediction Center has increased the severe weather risk up from level one to level two along the Red River in Texoma. This isn’t really a surprise as this is where thunderstorm coverage will be highest by the early to mid evening hours. I still am not anticipating widespread severe weather. A few storms will probably pulse up and produce quarter size hail and wind gusts over 60 MPH. The highest concentration of severe weather reports should be north of the Red River. As storms build to near and south of the Red River in Northwest Texas by 6 PM we should see a few become strong. The primary threat with the strongest storms would be quarter size hail and wind gusts over 60 MPH. Locally heavy rain will also be an issue, but flooding issues should remain localized and minor. The cool front responsible for this afternoon’s storm chances will move south of the Red River late this evening. Scattered storms will accompany the front as it moves south. Some of these storms may be strong with gusty winds up to 55 MPH and small hail. A marginal severe weather risk will continue into the late evening across the Big Country and North Texas. I really don’t anticipate too many issues...

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Rain/Storm Chances Tonight & Thursday with Cold Front

After a week of summer-like weather we’re finally about to head into fall for a few days. We do have a couple things to talk about as the much-anticipated cold front arrives starting tonight. There will be a low-end risk for a few severe storms this evening across Northwest Texas, the Big Country, North Texas, into Northeast Texas. While we are anticipated a fairly high coverage of showers/storms with the cold front tonight and Thursday the severe weather threat is limited to this evening. Rain chances push south on Thursday into the remainder of Texas as the cold front does the same. By early Friday the front should be pushing out into the Gulf of Mexico and south into Mexico. The result will be fall weather for all of Texas on Friday with high temperatures in the 70s to low 80s. Those temperatures will be accompanied by north winds and drastically lower humidity values. Let’s get into the details! Severe Thunderstorm Potential The primary focus for thunderstorm develop by late afternoon to early evening will be in Northwest Texas into South-Central Oklahoma. A cold front will likely be located in those two regions by 6-7 PM. The atmosphere will be marginally supportive of organized convection. Individual storms will move off to the east. With time – perhaps fairly quickly – a broken line of thunderstorms should organize in proximity...

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