David began chasing storms in the fall of 2008 just as mobile technology was emerging. After only chasing part-time in the 2013 & 2014 seasons he is looking forward to the 2015 spring storm season! His chase partner just so happens to be the love of his life, Paige Burress!
More Severe Storms Possible on Thursday
Wednesday, 01 April 2015 21:39
Thunderstorm activity has died down for the night across North and Northeast Texas. A few storms have popped up in Central/South-Central Texas but these storms should die down before too much longer. This evening’s weather model guidance has started to arrive and it looks like we’ll be dealing with another round of isolated severe storms again tomorrow. The 0Z 4-KM NAM breaks the cap from just west of the D/FW Metroplex south into the Hill Country/western Central Texas late tomorrow afternoon. The cap will be stronger tomorrow so the chance for storms is lower. However conditions will be more favorable for supercells (organized storms) with very large hail. Any storm that fires up tomorrow afternoon will likely become severe with damaging hail a good bet. Storms would move east/southeast off the dryline before dying out not long after sunset. With a strong cap we may not see storms fire up at all tomorrow – but anything that does go up could do it quickly.
The atmosphere will be strongly unstable with CAPE vaules around 4000. Anything over 2000 is generally quite favorable for severe storms. We’ll also have more wind shear tomorrow compared to today. The overall wind shear today in the lowest 6 kilometers was about 35-40 knots. Tomorrow afternoon we should have 45-50 knots of shear which will be even more favorable for discrete thunderstorms. The strong cap and lack of widespread forcing will keep any thunderstorm development isolated as well as the number of storms low. We may see no storms or one or two fire up tomorrow afternoon. Any storms that fire up could be big boomers with very large hail. I don’t see a high tornado threat tomorrow but when dealing with supercells you can never rule out a brief tornado.
Supercell with Damaging Hail in Northwest Tarrant County
Wednesday, 01 April 2015 17:04
The supercell in northwest Tarrant county has turned hard right in the past 20 minutes. The storm is now moving almost due east at 15 MPH and is located near Eagle Mountain. Hail up to the size of tennis-balls has been reported with this storm and the threat for destructive hail continues. Haslet is in the direct line of the hail core over the next 20 minutes with destructive hail likely falling over Highway 287 near Pecan Acres at this time. A wall cloud is also evident based on social media photos but low level rotation remains weak. Hail is the main threat.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
459 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
SOUTHWESTERN DENTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS…
SOUTHEASTERN WISE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS…
NORTHWESTERN TARRANT COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS…
* UNTIL 545 PM CDT
* AT 458 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER PECAN
ACRES…OR NEAR EAGLE MOUNTAIN…MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
HAZARD…TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
IMPACT…PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
DAMAGE TO ROOFS…SIDING…WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS…SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
FORT WORTH…DENTON…FLOWER MOUND…HALTOM CITY…KELLER…
RICHLAND HIL…EAGLE MOUNTAIN…BRIAR…NORTH RICHLAND HILLS…
ROANOKE…PECAN ACRES…JUSTIN…RENO AND BLUE MOUND.
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 35W BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 59 AND 76.
THIS STORM HAS HAD A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER
NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM…AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Parker & Tarrant Counties
Wednesday, 01 April 2015 15:55
We have our first severe thunderstorm of the day and it just so happens to include part of the D/FW Metroplex. A severe storm is located near Azle and is moving northeast at 20 MPH. This storm has shown signs of intensification over the past 15 minutes and is capable of producing quarter to half dollar size hail. WInd gusts up to 60 MPH are also possible in addition to very frequent cloud to ground lightning. Pelican Bay, Eagle Mountain Lake, Reno, and Azle are included in this warning.
Thunderstorms are rapidly developing in Parker County just northeast of Weatherford. These storms have shown quick signs of intensifying over the past 15 minutes. With an east/northeast movement they will move into Tarrant County by 4 PM. Conditions are favorable for the development of strong to severe thunderstorms with hail. Additional thunderstorms are forming in the Hill Country and western Central Texas where strong to severe storms are also possible. We’ll continue to post updates as needed here on the blog with more frequent updates on social media.
Severe Storms Possible in North & Northeast Texas This Afternoon
Wednesday, 01 April 2015 12:55
A few forecast adjustements are required thanks to the storms that impacted North and Northeast Texas this morning. Several small areas of low pressure developed from this morning’s storms. Those small low pressure areas along with several outflow boundaries present several possible initiation points for thunderstorms this afternoon. Meanwhile an upper level storm system (shortwave) will be moving into North Texas later this afternoon. That shortwave should help initiate an area of thunderstorms after 3 PM west/southwest of the D/FW Metroplex into parts of Central Texas. These storms would move northeast through the D/FW Metroplex during rush hour and then continue into East/Northeast Texas early this evening. Both atmospheric instablity and winds aloft will support an organized convective mode. That means we will have the risk for some severe weather with this afternoon’s storms. Quarter to half-dollar size hail and localized damaging wind gusts over 60 MPH will be possible with the strongest storms. A brief tornado cannot be ruled out but the overall tornado threat is pretty low but not zero.
Here is a simulated radar forecast from the 11 AM run of the HRRR (High Resolution Rapid Refresh) showing the general idea we have for this afternoon.