The only convective activity this morning is across the northern Texas Panhandle. Most of that activity is on the weaker side with a couple of lightning strikes. A few showers are falling around San Antonio east to Houston. Nothing too significant to discuss this morning weather-wise with typical warmth and humidity for a late July morning. Rain chances this afternoon will be lower than the previous days as we start to head back into a typical summer weather pattern. Isolated popup storms can be expected across South Texas, the Middle-Texas Coast, Southeast Texas, East Texas, and possibly the Red River Valley. Temperatures will peak in the middle to upper 90s with a few warmer cities topping out above 100 degrees. Some of the storms this afternoon will be strong with localized damaging wind gusts, heavy rain, and dangerous cloud to ground lightning. There is a conditional risk for a complex of thunderstorms to impact the Texas Panhandle tonight. The chance of being impacted by these overnight storms will depend on upstream development in Kansas plus any sort of outflow boundaries in play this afternoon. A few storms could become severe with hail and damaging winds this evening in the Texas Panhandle. We’ll keep an eye on this possibility and post updates as needed later on today. Make it a great...Read More
Author: David Reimer
Today’s weather focus will be on the potential for afternoon popup storms again today. A second focus will be on the potential for a complex of severe thunderstorms tonight in the Texas Panhandle. We’ll discuss both concerns in detail. We’re starting off the morning without any showers or thunderstorms. Warm and humid conditions are common as is usual for a late July morning in Texas. Temperatures will warm into the lower and middle 90s by early afternoon as convective temperatures are reached across the eastern half of Texas. When convective temperatures are reached we’ll see the first popup storms of the day begin. The best chance for scattered storms will be in East Texas into Southeast Texas and the Brazos Valley. Isolated activity will be possible further west in North Texas, Central Texas, Northwest Texas, into the Big Country, Concho Valley, and Far West Texas around El Paso. A few storms will probably become strong with a threat of localized, damaging wind gusts and heavy rain. Any storms that do fire up will slowly move and dump a boatload of rain in a hurry. This will be the kind of day where the neighborhood just to the east could pick up an inch of rain while you get nothing. Most folks will stay dry today, but if you’re lucky enough to get a storm nearby temperatures could drop off...Read More
Unsettled summer weather continues today with more afternoon thunderstorm chances. Temperatures will top out near normal with highs in the middle to upper 90s. Portions of East Texas may actually only top out in the upper 80s depending on how quickly storms start to fire up today. Just like the past two days temperatures may peak in the early afternoon before cooling as storms increase this afternoon. Compared to our usual dry and hot summer weather I Think we’ll take it! Scatterded thunderstorms are expected to develop once again this afternoon across the state. The best chance for a popup storm will be in North Texas, Central Texas, East Texas, Southeast Texas, and Far West Texas. Isolated storms will be possible pretty much anywhere today. The first storms that develop will produce outflow boundaries which will then help additional storms develop. That process will continue through the mid-afternoon hours before we see storm coverage start to decrease. A couple storms will remain possible into the evening hours. Strong storms will be possible this afternoon with an unstable airmass in place. The strongest storms could produce microburst winds, very localized damaging winds, over 60 MPH. Locally heavy rain and frequent cloud to ground lightning is a good bet with storms today. Widespread severe weather and flash flooding is not expected. Besides needed rains those who end up under or near...Read More
Unsettled weather continues today now that our pesky upper level heat dome has shifted into the Southwest United States. Temperatures will be a couple degrees lower today along with continued precipitation chances. High temperatures may be reached in the late morning in some locations due to afternoon rain chances. Those of you lucky enough to get a shower/storm will enjoy temperatures cooling off into the upper 70s and 80s. We’re anticipating additional isolated to scattered thunderstorms to develop by the early afternoon hours. The best chance for storms will be in Northwest Texas, West Texas, and a second enhanced corridor in South-Central Texas and Southeast Texas. Isolated showers and storms will be possible across all of Texas today and tonight. Wind shear values are weak and organized severe thunderstorms are not expected. Due to the unstable airmass in place we’ll see a couple strong storms with localized damaging winds and heavy rain. Any sort of flooding threat will remain very localized. Thunderstorm coverage will diminish by early evening, but isolated activity will remain possible into the...Read More
After a week and a half of talking about heat and isolated showers we finally have something more interesting to discuss. The heat dome has shifted into the Southwest United States. In its wake we’re now moving into a more unsettled weather pattern. This unsettled pattern means less hot temperatures and increased chances for rain. The rain chances are are a good thing. A flash drought is quickly developing and we’re going to be in a world of hurt fire-wise sooner rather than later if we don’t get rains. All the rains this past winter and spring let growth once again become abundant. Several weeks of hot temperatures and dry weather has resulted in a quick drying out of surface grasses. Given a few more weeks of drying we’ll quickly be in a flash drought. Luckily I believe we’re going to avoid that in some regions. Scatterded to numerous thunderstorms will develop by early afternoon near and east of Interstate 35. The best chances for numerous thunderstorms will be in Southeast Texas this afternoon, but there will be scattered to numerous storms from D/FW into Northeast Texas, East Texas, the Brazos Valley, and Central Texas. Isolated to scattered storms can be expected in Northwest Texas, the Big Country, Concho Valley, and South Texas. Today will probably be the most active day storm-wise that we’ve seen in several weeks. We’re...Read More
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