Author Archives: David Reimer

About David Reimer

David began chasing storms in the fall of 2008 just as mobile technology was emerging. After only chasing part-time in the 2013 & 2014 seasons he is looking forward to the 2015 spring storm season! His chase partner just so happens to be the love of his life, Paige Burress!

David Reimer

Record Rains in Abilene with More Heavy Rain Expected through Wednesday in TX

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July 7, 2015 is now the wettest day on record for Abilene. At 11:09 AM they had received 6.58 inches of rain for the day. That means today is the wettest day on record for Abilene. The previous record was 6.54 inches back on May 11, 1928. Rain continues to fall and the rain total will continue to rise today. It goes without saying that significant flooding is a problem in Abilene and surrounding areas with numerous water rescues in progress since this morning.

Flash Flood Watches continue into Wednesday for the Permian Basin, Big Country, Northwest Texas, and western North Texas as rain chances will continue into Wednesday. Some locations may receive an addition 4 to 6 inches of rain by the time this event concludes tomorrow.

Flooding will remain a concern in areas that have already received heavy rain today along with other locations where any training storms set up shop. Training thunderstorms are storms that redevelop/back build and move over the same location. On a radar loop it’ll look like a stationary band of heavy rain.

River flooding and lake rises will occur in and downstream of locations that receive several inches of rain. That means the water rises around Abilene will move downstream and impact locations downstream of the Big Country this week. Some lakes out that way are actually still low so that is good news for those water sources.

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Additional potential rainfall accumulations

Additional potential rainfall accumulations

July 7, 2015 Texas Weather Roundup

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Summer will be taking a break for the next few days as a seasonably strong cold front keeps high temperatures in the 60s across the Texas Panhandle. Rain chances continue to be high today across the Texas Panhandle, West Texas, Permian Basin, Concho Valley, Big Country, and Northwest Texas. There will be a pretty sharp gradient of rain on the eastern end of this system. Rain chances continue tonight and spread east into North Texas. Widespread 1 to 4 inches of rain is expected through Thursday morning with isolated totals exceeding 6 inches in Northwest Texas. Flash flooding will be possible in locations that receive the heaviest rains. A few strong storms with hail and gusty winds will also be possible today. The best way to keep up with storms near you is by using our free interactive weather radar at texasstormchasers.com/radar

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July 5, 2015 Texas Stormy Weather Roundup

Weather over the next few days will return to an ‘interesting’ phase before we begin the hottest stretch of summer so far this year. Thunderstorm chances increase this afternoon and especially tonight across parts of our wonderful state.

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Lets start off chatting about temperatures for this afternoon. If you guessed it was going to be hot today you would be correct! THe western half of Texas will warm into the mid to upper 90s with the eastern half of Texas in the low to mid 90s but with higher humidity values. Heat index temperatures will approach 100 degrees in the eastern half of Texas today while those out west will have slightly less humidity.

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Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will develop late this afternoon across the Texas Panhandle into West Texas. The strongest storms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and large hail. Locally heavy rain is also expected. Thunderstorm coverage will increase tonight as lift increases with an upper level storm system. Locally heavy rain and strong storms will be the main threats with the activity tonight. Rain chances continue on Tuesday across West Texas, the Permian Basin, and Northwest Texas. Activity will spread into North Texas Tuesday Night into Wednesday.

Rain forecast through Wednesday Night from Weather Prediction Center

Rain forecast through Wednesday Night from Weather Prediction Center

Storm Chances Increase Tomorrow through Wednesday

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Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will remain possible tonight across the Permian Basin and far West Texas. Widespread severe weather is not expected but localized gusty winds are possible with the stronger storms. Isolated showers will also be possible in East Texas overnight.

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Otherwise hot and humid conditions will continue tonight as we are in July after all. Most of Texas will experience partly cloudy to mostly clear skies tonight.

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Heat index temperatures will climb to right around 100 degrees during the afternoon hours on Monday along and east of the Interstate 35 corridor. Check out Laredo with a forecast heat index of 104°F tomorrow afternoon! The heat will really crank up by late week as a heat ridge builds in and potentially brings the first widespread 100 degree readings of the summer to Texas.

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Scattered thunderstorms are expected Monday afternoon into Monday night across the Permian Basin, West Texas, and the Texas Panhandle. A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible in the Texas Panhandle with damaging winds and pocket-change hail the threats.

Forecast rain totals through Thursday morning from the Weather Prediction Center

Forecast rain totals through Thursday morning from the Weather Prediction Center

More widespread and heavy rain will be possible on Tuesday and Wednesday across the southeast Texas Panhandle, West-Central Texas, and Northwest Texas. The Weather Prediction Center is forecasting average rain totals of 2 to 4 inches through Thursday morning. The region has been pretty dry over the past two weeks so I don’t think we will see a widespread flooding threat. A few strong storms will be possible during this timeframe as well.

After Wednesday rain chances look to shut off as the heat ridge builds in. Temperatures next weekend could be very near 100 degrees for a chunk of Texas for the first time this summer.

July 3, 2015 Texas Weather Roundup + Independence Day Forecast

The next two days will feature active weather including the possibility of severe thunderstorms. With tomorrow being July 4th we definitely will concentrate on giving the best forecast for those planning to be outdoors. Remember that all thunderstorms produce dangerous and potentially deadly cloud to ground lightning. When thunder roars go indoors – meaning get off the lakes or outdoor areas and into a structure or your vehicle.

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Scattered thunderstorms (20-40% coverage) will be possible today across the Texas Panhandle, West Texas, Northwest Texas, and North Texas. Numerous thunderstorms (50%+ coverage) are possible today across Northeast Texas. Isolated showers and thunderstorms (10-20% coverage) will be possible along all of the Texas coastline, East Texas, and Southeast Texas thanks to the seabreeze and usual afternoon dynamics. The strongest popup afternoon thunderstorm could produce locally significant microburst winds.

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A more organized severe weather threat is possible across North and Northeast Texas this afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted a Level 2 risk out of a 1 to 5 scale system. A level 1 risk extends from the Texas Panhandle through Northwest Texas and East Texas. The main concern with the most organized storms this afternoon will be damaging straight-line winds up to 70 MPH, hail up to the size of quarters, and very frequent cloud to ground lightning. There is a nonzero tornado risk – meaning the risk for tornadoes is very low, but not zero, today. Thunderstorms will tend to decrease in intensity after sunset but we could see storms continue into the nighttime hours as well.

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Our temperature forecast is the same as it was yesterday and the day before that. We’ll see high temperatures in the 90s this afternoon across all of Texas. Outflow winds from nearby showers/storms will cool some folks off into the 80s by this afternoon. Heat index values will approach 100 degrees in some locations.

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The chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue into Independence Day as we remain in an active weather pattern. That is not to say it will be a washout by any means – but there will be issues to deal with for some. The highest chance for nearby showers and thunderstorms will be across Northeast Texas, East Texas, Southeast Texas, and generally along and east of Interstate 35 in Central and South Texas. A few storms will also be possible along the Red River Valley. Some storms could be strong with damaging wind gusts and hail.

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I know the main question for us is how will the weather be for the fireworks tomorrow night. The good news is we will see thunderstorm chances decrease by and after sunset. A majority of folks will be dry and in good shape for fireworks. However parts of Northeast Texas and East Texas could still be dealing with Mother Nature’s own fireworks during the evening and overnight hours. I believe most of Texas will easily be able to get their firework shows in with no problem. A few unlucky locations will likely have to delay their shows. Temperatures will range from the upper 80s to lower 90s for firework shows tomorrow evening. It’s going to be the usual Texas warm – but nothing crazy hot.

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