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Discussion – 

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Another Hot Sunday – Rain Chances Increase Monday and Tuesday

One more day of hot temps, then we’ll see the heatwave subside and temps drop back to more seasonal levels as the upper level ridge shifts west and stays there for the remainder of the work week. We will also see increasing chances for rain. This will by no means be a major rain event, and not everyone will see rain, but it’s always a welcomed addition to the forecast during our typically hot and dry summers.

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Highs today across the state will feature widespread upper 90s and low 100s. Heat index readings will be highest across the eastern half of the state where Heat Advisories remain in effect through late this evening. After today, we should see heat index values drop sufficiently to end the need for additional advisories through at least the middle of the work week. Across the western half of the state where we have much less humidity, heat index values will actually end up lower than the actual air temperature by a few degrees.

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Rain chances today will be similar to what we saw yesterday with scattered showers and storms concentrated across parts of east Texas. We’ll also see a chance at showers and storms developing across the northern Texas panhandle and far west Texas as we get into the late afternoon hours. Not expecting severe weather, but a few of the most vigorous storms have the potential to produce downburst winds, lightning and brief heavy downpours.

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Rain chances will be on the increase this week as the upper level ridge shifts off to the west and its influence over our hot and stagnant summertime weather pattern decreases. Monday and Tuesday, we expect to see a couple of weak upper level disturbances move in from the east. These will trigger scattered showers and storms primarily across the eastern portions of the state on Monday, and expanding in coverage area on Tuesday. Again, not a major rain maker by any means, but always a welcomed event in the middle of summer.

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Jenny Brown

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