Unseasonably hot weather will continue with today featuring the warmest temperatures of the next week. The triple digits are back with high temperatures forecast to climb above 100 degrees across the northeastern Texas Panhandle. Previous record high temperatures are in the lower 90s in the Panhandle. We won’t just be setting new record highs today, we’ll be smashing the old records by late morning. While temperatures won’t be that extreme over the rest of Texas it is still going to be quite toasty. Temperatures will be ten to thirty degrees above average for mid-October with highs in the 90s statewide. More humid locations may ‘only’ make it up into the upper 80s, but heat index values will be well into the 90s. Records are in jeopardy and several cities will probably tie or set new record highs this afternoon.
Conditions will remain fairly similar on Tuesday except for the Texas Panhandle, West Texas, and Northwest Texas. A weak cool front will make it south into those regions tonight into Tuesday. Temperatures will be much more seasonal on Tuesday with high temperatures in the 70s to lower 80s. The front won’t make it far into Texas at all and will stall out in West Texas and Northwest Texas. Conditions south of the front will remain hot with upper 80s and 90s. Some cities will probably approach or set new record highs tomorrow.
Wednesday will be slightly ‘less’ hot with temperatures a couple degrees lower as the upper level heat ridge starts to weaken. Don’t get me wrong, it’ll still be warmer than it should be for mid-October with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. The stalled cool front will remain in place across West Texas and Northwest Texas. The Panhandle, West Texas, and Northwest Texas will have highs in the 70s and lower 80s with a fairly dry airmass in place. The same can’t be said south of the front where summer humidity will remain evident.
Wednesday Night is when we start to see our big changes arrive. A strong cool front will move south out of Oklahoma into Texas on Wednesday into Wednesday Night. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will likely be underway near and behind the cool front along the Red River. These scattered rain chances will continue to expand south on Thursday as the cool front makes good progress into the state. Rain chances by Thursday Night will be confined to the Rio Grande Valley. This cool front will be one of the first this fall to make it through all of Texas. It’ll push out into the Gulf of Mexico and south into Mexico.
Fall weather fans are going to be very happy on Friday. Temperatures will top out in the 70s to right around 80 degrees across the entire state. This will also be a much drier airmass – void of the humidity we’ve been dealing with over the past week. Simply put – it will feel like fall by Friday across all of Texas.
Even better is the forecast low temperatures by Saturday morning. A dry airmass is able to effectively cool off at night. Temperatures by sunrise on Saturday will be in the 40s and 50s across all of Texas. Even along the coast we should see temperatures fall into the upper 50s. These cooler temperatures will continue into Saturday. We will see temperatures start to warm back up by Sunday as southerly winds kick back into gear. By next week temperatures will probably return to or go back above average for mid-October as a heat ridge develops aloft.