Highlights Confidence in a Cold Air Outbreak in Texas by Christmas Afternoon is high Confidence in light snow occurring in Texas is moderate. Confidence WHERE in Texas snow will fall is low. Confidence in accumulating snowfall in Texas is low. We will begin to get better weather model consistency on Saturday, at least that is the hope. Discussion We’ve been talking about it since last weekend, but even now we still have a great deal of uncertainty about the possible Christmas winter storm. We are confident that there will be another cold air outbreak that will make temperatures quite chilly by Christmas evening (sooner in northern parts of Texas) with...Read More
Day: December 21, 2012
I’ll have a complete forecast update later tonight explaining the latest trends with the weather model data and why it may mean more snow for North Texas. The National Weather Service in Fort Worth just issued their first Winter Weather Outlook for the possible Christmas Storm. Here is their statement… Winter weather outlook for December 25th… A strong storm system is expected to move over North Texas on Christmas day. While this system has been forecast to affect the region for several days… confidence is increasing that wintry precipitation associated with this system will fall over portions of...Read More
It’s still a non-zero chance…which means there IS still a chance for snow to fall in the northern parts of the state for Christmas. Nothing is certain yet, but it’s not been completely ruled out at this time. I wanted to share with you a wonderful educational discussion posted by the National Weather Service office in Ft. Worth yesterday evening. In it, they break down the processes that would need to be in place with this next system for snow to develop. It’s very interesting and not extremely nerdy. I did include some definitions in parenthesis where appropriate. It’s...Read More
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