TGIF! We finally made it to Friday! Mild weather is expected again across the state with highs ranging from the upper 60’s to nearly 80 degrees depending on where you’re at. Areas toward the coast need to be on the lookout for FOG this morning as they hit the road. Also some slight chances of showers today for residents along the coast from Brownsville all the way up to the Houston/Galveston area. Other parts of the state remain dry. Clouds have developed overnight in the southern and central parts of the state as a result of southerly winds streaming moisture up from the gulf, but those are expected to burn off later today with daytime heating. Lows tonight will range from the 30’s and 40’s up in the panhandle, to the 60’s and 70’s along the coast. Expecting to see a few record temps broken this weekend as temps rise into the 80’s in parts of the panhandle and central Texas this weekend.
You don’t need us to tell you that it has been dry across Texas the past few months, but let’s talk about the overall conditions across the state. I haven’t posted this graphic since early 2012, but some of you will definitely recognize it.
Only six percent of Texas is not in some sort of drought condition at this point with over fifty percent of the state considered to be in a severedrought. Luckily, some of us had enough rain this spring to fill the lakes back to capacity, but the recent dry spell is taking a toll on them.
[caption id=”attachment_10687″ align=”aligncenter” width=”595″]width=”595″ height=”303″ /> Percent of normal rainfall for November[/caption]
This graphic shows the percentage of normal rainfall we’ve received thus far in November. The dark red color that covers a majority of Texas indicates that those locations have received less than ten percent of their normal Novemberrainfall. While city-goers might not think much of it, farmers and ranchers definitely understand and are feeling the negative effects of no rainfall.
[caption id=”attachment_10688″ align=”aligncenter” width=”595″]width=”595″ height=”446″ /> Global Forecast System Weather Model Precipitation Forecast[/caption]
Finally, here is what one weather model is showing for the next eight days in terms of upcoming rainfall. While parts of East Texas may receive some minor rainfall, dry and rain-less conditions look to continue through the first week of December.
How is the drought affecting you and your family? Let us know by chatting in the Facebook comments below!
Good Morning! It’s almost Friday!!!! Another warm day across the state with highs once again mainly in the upper 60’s to 70’s. Low’s tonight/tomorrowmorning will range from the 20’s and 30’s up in the panhandle to the 60’s and a few 70’s along the coast and deep south Texas. Slight rain and shower chances today along the southern coast from Brownsville to Corpus…and tomorrow along the coast around Houston/Galveston. Fog will be also be a concern along the coast late tonight and into tomorrowmorning, so please take extra precaution driving tonight and tomorrowmorning in those areas.
For the folks asking about rain chances for the state during the upcoming weeks…it’s just not looking good. Sadly, every model run keeps decreasing the chance of rain over the next 7 – 10 days. A little bit here and there, but nothing major to help with our drought situation. We will all keep our fingers and toes crossed that this changes later in December or after the first of the year.
After a coldsnap, temperatures are on the rise and we’re going to kick off December with above average temperatures state-wide and across much of the eastern United States. Locations in portions of the Midwest and Eastern United States may end up hitting record territory. We may have a chance for rain here in Texas by the December 3rd time-frame, but time will tell how significant of a rain maker that system may end up being. Until then, enjoy the warmer weather. There are signs in the long-range pattern that we’ll have a major coldsnap by the second week of December.
And the season of wardrobe confusion continues….chilly at night, warm during the day. Walk out the door in the morning dressed like the Michelin Man, and walk back in by 5pm in shorts and a t-shirt! Looks like that will be the trend for the rest of the week as a mostly zonal (west to east) upper level wind flow and higher pressure sets in. Clear skies tonight across the state will allow the earth to cool rapidly and bring chilly lows to most…but not quite as cold as they were last night in some areas, especially the panhandle. Lows tomorrow morning will range from the 20’s and 30’s in the north and west, to the 40’s and 50’s down south. Tomorrow brings more sunny skies and balmy temps with highs in the 60’s and 70’s across the state. With the exception of a few showers expected along the coast in deep south Texas later this week, calm conditions and a gradual warm-up is queued up for the rest of this week and into the weekend. Depressingly, that means little to no rain for most of the state which we so desperately need, so we really need to keep the rain prayers going. By Saturday and Sunday, we could be setting new records with temps close to 20 degrees above normal for this time of year! Our next weather system will arrive early next week, and David will have more details on that for y’all tomorrow. ~Jenny