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This graphic shows the probability of experiencing a severe thunderstorm within 25 miles of your location today and tonight. The brown shaded zones are what we consider a low risk, or a 5 percent chance. Within the yellow zone, the Storm Prediction Center has issued a standard risk of severe weather which means there is a 15 percent chance of experiencing severe weather within 25 miles of any given point. Thunderstorm coverage will be isolated across South Texas with a slightly higher coverage expected across North Texas.
The strongest storms will be capable of producing golfball size hail and damaging winds in excess of 60 MPH. However, all storms will be capable of producing cloud to ground lightning. As it is a Sunday and numerous outdoor events are planned, please keep that in mind. Thunderstorms should begin firing by 4 to 5 PM to the west of Interstate 35 and begin approaching Interstate 35 by 6 to 9 PM. Remember, expect the unexpected when it comes to thunderstorms and have a way to receive weather warnings later this afternoon, especially if you’re planning to be outdoors. When thunder roars, go indoors!
We’ll be chasing northwest of Fort Worth this afternoon and plan on following the storms back into the metroplex. We’ll have live video available after 1 PM.