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The Storm Prediction Center has just upgraded much of Central and North Texas from an elevated/enhanced risk of severe weather to a significant risk of severe weather for Monday. Within the red outline, there is now a 45% chance of experiencing severe weather within 25 miles of any given point. That means residents in those areas have almost a half in half chance of seeing severe weather close by today.
Several rounds of severe thunderstorms are likely today and all modes of severe weather are possible. That means tornadoes, very large hail, and damaging straight-line winds are likely in some storms today. Flash flooding will become a big problem by Monday Night. Significant severe weather is also possible, meaning there could be a few strong tornadoes and very large, damaging hail.
Please note that several large metro areas are included in this risk. The significant severe weather risk includes San Antonio, Austin, Waco, D/FW, Gainesville, Sherman, Tyler, just to name a few. This is easily one of our most widespread severe weather risks that this part of the state has seen in a few years. Please don’t think just because it’s March that we cannot have severe weather. It appears that theory is going to be shattered by later today. We will be out chasing later today.